973
FXUS63 KJKL 221445 AAA
AFDJKL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson KY
1045 AM EDT Tue Apr 22 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Showers and thunderstorms return mainly along and south of Hal
  Rogers/KY-80 corridor on Wednesday.

- A period of wet weather is forecast Thursday through Sunday.

- Normal to above normal temperatures are expected for the week.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1045 AM EDT TUE APR 22 2025

14Z sfc analysis shows high pressure in control of the weather
over eastern Kentucky, though a nearby stalled front is keeping
some low clouds in the picture for the southeast. The high is
making for light winds with partial sunshine benefiting the
western parts of the area. Currently temperatures are running in
the upper 50s to lower 60s. Meanwhile, dewpoints range from the
mid 40s northwest to the upper 50s and low 60s in the far
southeast. Have updated the forecast mainly to add in the latest
obs and trends for the T/Td/Sky grids. These minor adjustments
have been sent to the NDFD and web servers.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 450 AM EDT TUE APR 22 2025

Current radar shows a line of showers extending from West
Virginia to Mississippi, associated with an exiting cold front.
Valley fog is expected to mix out later this morning, by 8-10 AM
or so. Dry conditions are expected to continue through Wednesday
morning, as the area remains just behind the front. Temperatures
remain seasonable today, in the low to mid 70s for the area.
Wednesday, the cold front retrogrades and moves back north as a
warm front. This warm front will bring showers and thunderstorm
chances to eastern Kentucky Wednesday. These shower chances
largely stay along and south of the Hal Rogers/KY-80 corridor.
Warmer conditions can be expected Wednesday, with temperatures
reaching the upper 70s to low 80s.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 450 AM EDT TUE APR 22 2025

Wednesday night, patchy areas of valley fog may develop late in
the evening and overnight hours. Thursday, showers and
thunderstorms redevelop during the day along a stalled boundary.

Friday through Monday, a series of shortwaves move across the
area producing periods of showers and thunderstorms. The shortwave
that moves through Friday and Saturday looks to be the most
significant. PWAT approaches 1.5 inches during the day Friday,
along with dewpoints potentially in the low to mid 60s. The WPC
has put the western portion of the area under a Marginal Risk for
excessive rainfall on Friday. Sunday looks to remain the driest
as this day looks to remain between systems. Temperatures
generally remain in the upper 70s to low 80s through next Sunday,
with Saturday looking to be the coolest of the days in the lower
70s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Wednesday morning)
ISSUED AT 720 AM EDT TUE APR 22 2025

VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period. Skies continue
to clear in the wake of a departing cold front. Early morning
valley fog is beginning to mix out, with CAA helping. CIGS should
gradually rise through the morning with light and variable winds
throughout the day.

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...GREIF
SHORT TERM...GINNICK/CMC
LONG TERM...GINNICK/CMC
AVIATION...GINNICK