Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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715
FNUS72 KJAX 280552
FWSJAX

Spot Forecast for Cones Head...USFS
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
152 AM EDT Sat Jun 28 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 EDT on June 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

A moist, hot, and unstable airmass will lead to chances for
showers and scattered thunderstorms along the Gulf Sea breeze
early this afternoon, with storm development in the vicinity of
the fire as early as 1300. Winds will favor a westerly direction
through the morning and then shift more southwesterly behind the
Gulf breeze this afternoon, around 1400-1500. Strong outflow winds
will be possible in the vicinity of thunderstorms as they pass
this afternoon. Increasing moisture and storm chances continue
through Sunday, trending afternoon humidity higher as well.


.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........56  48  29  41  43  40  40  44  50  59  54
Weather cov.....PTY                     SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....FOG                     RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  20  30  40  40  40
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   10  10  20  40  50  60  60
Temp............70  73  79  83  87  89  90  90  91  91  92
RH..............100 97  82  72  65  59  56  54  52  52  51
Heat index (F)..72  74  77  89  95  98  96  96  96  96  95
Wind chill (F)..72  74  77  82  85  87  87  87  87  87  86
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   SW  SW  W   W
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   2   3   5   5   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.2   2   2   3   6   7   7   9   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.2 4.9 5.6 5.2 4.8 4.4
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   7   8   9
Dispersion idx..2   4   9   15  20  24  32  39  43  50  53
LVORI...........10  8   4   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........48  56  52  49  31  22  19  19  15  15  14  24
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).40  30  30  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of thdr (%).70  60  30  30  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  0
Temp............90  88  84  81  79  77  76  75  74  73  73  72
RH..............56  59  67  74  79  85  87  90  90  93  93  97
Heat index (F)..92  87  79  77  76  75  74  73  73  72  72  72
Wind chill (F)..84  81  79  77  76  75  74  73  73  72  72  72
20 FT wind dir..W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..6   5   5   3   3   3   2   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.9   7   7   6   6   6   3   2   2   2   2   2
Mix hgt (kft)...3.1 1.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.10  9   9   9   9   8   8   7   6   6   6   6
Dispersion idx..40  23  6   5   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3
LVORI...........1   2   3   3   4   5   6   6   6   7   7   8

.SUNDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........25  26  26  21  23  24  34  43  53  57  60  64
Weather cov.....        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   30  30  30  30  30  30  70  70  70  70
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   10  10  10  20  20  20  70  70  70  70
Temp............72  72  73  78  82  86  87  88  90  89  89  88
RH..............97  97  100 91  79  70  68  63  60  61  64  66
Heat index (F)..72  73  74  77  87  93  95  96  96  96  96  95
Wind chill (F)..72  73  74  77  81  84  85  86  86  86  86  85
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..1   1   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   5   5
20 FT wind gust.2   2   6   6   7   8   9   9   10  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.7 0.8 2.0 3.2 4.4 5.3 6.3 7.2 5.6 4.1 2.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.6   7   7   8   9   9   9   8   8   8   8   8
Dispersion idx..3   3   7   20  37  51  60  63  68  56  43  29
LVORI...........8   9   8   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   2

$$
Forecaster...Boothe
Requested by...Rush Smith
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2516824.0/JAX
.DELDT 06/27/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL cody.trout-thomas@usda.gov,gregory.smith3@usda.gov