Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
905
FNUS72 KJAX 230912
FWSJAX

Spot Forecast for 215G Wildfire...USFS
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
512 AM EDT Sat Aug 23 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0611 EDT on August 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Patchy fog is possible early this morning with partly cloudy skies.
Otherwise, a frontal boundary will remain nearly stationary near the
GA/FL line through Sunday. Expect another round of showers and
thunderstorms today with potential for heavy rainfall at times
and frequent lightning. With mostly cloudy skies and light west to
southwest winds, the dispersion will remain on the low side
again today, peaking around 28-31. The wind forecast is low
confidence on Sunday given that the front could be shifting
north and south of the burn site at times.

The front will sink further south next week as another cold front
moves into the area Monday night into Tuesday. Transport winds
increase with the multiple frontal passages leading to good and
potentially high dispersions for early next week. Drier air moving
in behind the front will result in lower chances for storms next
week.

.TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........65  68  60  61  57  59  69  66  71  73  71  79
Weather cov.....PTY PTY SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....FOG FOG RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........        SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  20  20  20  40  40  50  50  60  70  70
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  20  20  20  40  40  40  50  60  70  70
Temp............72  72  73  76  81  84  86  87  88  88  88  86
RH..............100 100 100 97  85  77  72  70  68  68  68  70
Heat index (F)..72  72  73  76  87  93  96  98  99  99  99  95
20 FT wind dir..N   E   E   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   SW
20 FT wind spd..0   1   1   1   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.    2   2   2   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.4 2.0 2.7 3.1 3.2 3.0 2.6 1.8
Transp wind dir.S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.3   3   3   3   3   3   5   7   8   9   9   9
Dispersion idx..2   2   4   3   6   9   15  22  27  28  27  21
LVORI...........10  10  9   7   5   4   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........78  76  73  76  72  71  73  61  53  62  55  58
Weather cov.....LKY LKY CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........LKY LKY CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).70  70  40  30  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of thdr (%).70  70  40  30  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............84  81  78  77  76  75  75  74  73  73  72  72
RH..............74  82  91  90  94  94  94  97  100 100 100 100
Heat index (F)..92  87  78  77  76  75  75  74  73  73  72  72
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 1.0 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   SW  W   W   W
Transp wind spd.9   9   8   8   7   6   6   5   5   5   5   5
Dispersion idx..16  11  4   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2
LVORI...........3   4   6   6   7   7   8   8   9   10  10  10

.SUNDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........72  68  65  60  61  61  60  60  59  60  61  62
Weather cov.....        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).0   10  20  20  20  20  20  20  70  70  70  70
Chc of thdr (%).0   10  10  10  10  20  20  20  70  70  70  70
Temp............72  72  72  76  79  82  84  86  87  88  88  87
RH..............100 100 100 97  91  82  77  72  70  66  66  68
Heat index (F)..72  72  72  76  79  89  93  96  98  98  98  96
20 FT wind dir..SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   2   3   3   5   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.2   2   2   3   6   6   7   9   9   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.6 3.1 3.7 3.7 3.8 3.8
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.5   5   6   7   8   9   10  10  10  10  12  12
Dispersion idx..2   2   5   9   16  24  30  36  48  49  49  52
LVORI...........10  10  9   6   5   3   3   3   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Shashy
Requested by...Riddle
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2520212.4/JAX
.DELDT 08/23/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jason.riddle@usda.gov