Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FNUS72 KJAX 041501
FWSJAX

Spot Forecast for SHAW BURN...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
1001 AM EST Tue Feb 4 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 EST on February 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

High pressure ridging over the area today, creating calm to light
winds and poor daytime dispersion at the burn site. Dense fog is
anticipated to form in the late night hours and last into the
morning, clearing out around 9-10am. Daytime dispersion picks up
slightly Wednesday from poor to poor/fair as a cold front pushes
in from the northeast and dissipates Wednesday night. Winds will
remain light and out of the south to southwest Wednesday morning,
shifting to the southeast by the evening hours.

.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (EST)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........24  9   7   5   3   3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............71  76  79  81  81  78
RH..............61  46  39  37  35  40
Heat index (F)..71  76  79  80  80  78
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   6   5   3
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  9   7   6
Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 2.1 2.5 2.7 2.7 1.4
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.9   8   7   6   5   5
Dispersion idx..23  22  21  19  16  7
LVORI...........2   2   2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........3   4   4   3   3   8   12  17  24  31  38  40
Weather cov.....                    PTY PTY ARS ARS ARS WID WID
Weather type....                    FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............73  68  64  62  60  59  57  56  56  55  53  53
RH..............51  59  70  75  81  83  90  93  93  96  100 100
Heat index (F)..73  68  64  62  60  59  57  56  56  55  53  53
20 FT wind dir..SW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
20 FT wind gust.2
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW
Transp wind spd.3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Dispersion idx..4   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
LVORI...........2   3   3   4   5   5   6   7   7   8   10  10

.WEDNESDAY...
TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........42  50  47  38  42  29  32  36  39  41  43  47
Weather cov.....WID WID WID PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............52  51  53  59  65  71  75  77  79  80  80  76
RH..............100 100 100 96  81  66  58  54  50  47  47  56
Heat index (F)..52  51  53  59  65  71  75  77  79  81  81  76
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   SW  SW  S   S   S   SW  SW  S
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   1   1   2   2   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.2   2   2   2   2   3   3   6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.5 2.4 3.2 3.3 3.5 3.6 2.6
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.3   3   3   3   3   5   6   7   7   7   7   7
Dispersion idx..2   3   3   3   4   10  18  27  28  28  28  22
LVORI...........10  9   9   7   5   3   2   2   2   2   2   2

$$
Forecaster...Villafane
Requested by...Howard spencer
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2502236.0/JAX
.DELDT 02/04/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Howard.spencer@fdacs.gov