Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FNUS72 KJAX 230604
FWSJAX

Spot Forecast for Bluff Creek Incident...USDA Forrest Service
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
204 AM EDT Tue Sep 23 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0616 EDT on September 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Patchy morning fog through 9 am. Hotter and mostly
dry today. North to northeast winds 2-4 mph this morning becoming
east mid to late afternoon 4-6 mph with gusts near 10 mph as
the east coast sea breeze moves inland. Peak heat index
95 to 100 degrees. Minimum humidity 45-50%. Fair dispersion
this afternoon due to weak transport winds. Less than a 10%
chance of an afternoon or evening shower or thunderstorm.

.TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........30  44  49  38  23  19  16  14  25  21  29  32
Weather cov.....PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10
Temp............69  69  70  74  80  85  88  90  92  93  92  91
RH..............100 100 100 97  85  70  61  56  52  49  51  50
Heat index (F)..68  68  70  74  78  89  92  94  96  96  96  94
20 FT wind dir..N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   NE  E   E
20 FT wind spd..0   0   1   1   1   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   7   8   8   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.5 2.9 3.9 5.4 5.5 5.8 5.5 4.7
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  E   NW  NW  W   SW  W   W   E
Transp wind spd.2   3   3   3   3   2   3   3   3   5   5   5
Dispersion idx..1   2   3   3   7   9   17  23  24  33  31  27
LVORI...........10  10  9   6   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   1

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........17  22  39  37  27  25  22  25  15  9   27  26
Weather cov.....                                            PTY
Weather type....                                            FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  0   0   10  10  0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............90  87  83  79  77  75  74  73  72  71  71  70
RH..............52  59  67  79  85  90  93  93  97  100 100 100
Heat index (F)..91  88  83  78  76  75  74  73  72  71  70  70
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..5   5   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   0   0   0
20 FT wind gust.9   10  10  9   8   8   7   6   5   3   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...3.8 1.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SE  E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
Transp wind spd.5   5   8   8   8   8   7   7   7   7   6   5
Dispersion idx..22  9   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   2
LVORI...........2   2   3   4   5   6   6   6   8   10  10  10

.WEDNESDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........33  37  39  18  14  10  18  25  38  39  41  42
Weather cov.....PTY PTY                         SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....FOG FOG                         RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   20  20  20  20
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   20  20  20  20
Temp............70  69  71  76  82  88  91  93  94  94  94  92
RH..............100 100 100 94  77  63  56  52  49  49  47  51
Heat index (F)..69  69  70  75  84  92  96  99  99  99  97  96
20 FT wind dir..N   N   S   SW  SW  S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..0   0   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.3   2   3   3   5   5   6   6   7   8   8   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.3 1.2 2.5 3.7 4.5 5.3 6.1 5.7 5.3 4.9
Transp wind dir.S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.5   5   3   3   3   3   5   5   6   6   6   6
Dispersion idx..2   2   3   5   11  16  26  30  43  40  38  35
LVORI...........10  10  10  6   4   2   2   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Enyedi
Requested by...byron.hart@usda.gov
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2522230.3/JAX
.DELDT 09/23/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL christopher.lydick@usda.gov,byron.hart@usda.gov