895
FNUS72 KJAX 161816
FWSJAX

Spot Forecast for Mailbox...USFS
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
216 PM EDT Thu Jul 16 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1650 EDT on July 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
West-northwest winds around 5 mph with gusts up to 15 mph expected this
afternoon outside of storms. Isolated showers and storms will be
near the fire late this afternoon into early evening. A thunderstorm
could bring gusty, erratic winds, frequent lightning and heavy
downpours. Temperatures will be in the low 90s but "feel like" 100
degrees this afternoon. Showers and storms end by 9 PM. Winds
calm late this evening through dawn.

.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........60  62
Weather cov.....CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).40  40
Chc of thdr (%).40  40
Temp............92  91
RH..............53  55
Heat index (F)..99  100
Wind chill (F)..99  100
20 FT wind dir..W   W
20 FT wind spd..5   5
20 FT wind gust.13  12
Mix hgt (kft)...4.3 3.1
Transp wind dir.NW  NW
Transp wind spd.8   8
Dispersion idx..30  22
LVORI...........2   2

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........59  55  49  36  45  54  29  27  35  26  25  18
Weather cov.....CHC CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).40  30  20  20  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).40  30  20  20  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0
Temp............90  87  84  81  80  79  78  77  76  76  75  75
RH..............58  65  72  79  79  85  85  88  90  90  92  92
Heat index (F)..98  96  91  86  84  83  78  77  76  76  75  75
Wind chill (F)..98  96  91  86  84  83  78  77  76  76  75  75
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..5   5   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
20 FT wind gust.9   8   7   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...3.0 2.2 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  W   NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.8   7   7   6   6   6   7   6   6   6   6   6
Dispersion idx..21  13  4   2   2   2   3   2   2   2   2   2
LVORI...........2   3   3   4   4   5   5   6   7   7   7   7

$$
Forecaster...Chaney
Requested by...Nick Michels
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617313.2/JAX
.DELDT 07/16/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Nick.Michels@usda.gov