Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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060
FNUS72 KJAX 101940
FWSJAX

Spot Forecast for Smith Grade Rd Fire...Florida Forest Forest
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
340 PM EDT Fri Jul 10 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1600 EDT on July 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

East to southeasterly winds will continue through this evening as
the sea breeze has moved inland to the west. This will keep RH
values generally above 50% and a heat index of 105+ through about
7 PM. Dispersions will remain in the 30-40 range through this evening.
Saturday, flow will start off west to southwesterly before a
developing sea breeze moves inland between about 12-1 PM. Hot and
humid conditions will result behind the sea breeze, which could reach
heat advisory criteria as heat indices are forecast to be near 110F.
Dispersions will be in a similar "fair" range tomorrow, around 30-40
units.

.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2   4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   10
Chc of thdr (%).10  10
Temp............95  94
RH..............55  54
Heat index (F)..109 106
20 FT wind dir.. E   E
20 FT wind spd..9   9
20 FT wind gust.14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...2.9 2.4
Transp wind dir.SE  SE
Transp wind spd.12  13
Dispersion idx..35  34
LVORI...........2   2

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........10  13  16  19  17  19  23  26  29  23  23  8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............92  89  86  84  83  82  81  80  79  78  78  77
RH..............58  64  70  72  72  74  77  79  82  85  82  85
Heat index (F)..103 99  95  91  89  87  86  84  79  78  78  77
20 FT wind dir.. E  SE  SE  S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..9   9   8   8   7   6   6   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.15  15  16  16  15  14  14  13  13  12  12  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 1.3 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.14  15  15  15  14  13  12  12  10  10  9   8
Dispersion idx..30  23  10  10  9   8   7   7   6   5   5   4
LVORI...........2   2   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   5   5   5

.SATURDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........5   5   5   2   7   10  0   1   25  30  45  51
Weather cov.....                                SCH SCH SCH CHC
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                SCH SCH SCH CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  20  20  20  30
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  20  20  20  30
Temp............77  77  80  85  88  92  94  95  96  95  94  93
RH..............85  88  85  75  70  60  56  55  53  55  56  56
Heat index (F)..77  77  85  94  100 105 107 109 110 109 107 105
20 FT wind dir..SW  W   W   W   W   W   SW  SE   E   E   E  SE
20 FT wind spd..5   3   3   3   3   5   5   5   6   7   8   8
20 FT wind gust.9   9   8   8   8   8   8   9   10  12  12  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.7 0.8 1.7 2.5 3.4 3.6 3.9 4.1 3.6 3.1 2.6
Transp wind dir.SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  S   S   SE
Transp wind spd.8   8   8   8   8   7   7   7   7   8   10  12
Dispersion idx..4   4   9   16  23  28  29  29  31  33  36  37
LVORI...........5   6   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

$$
Forecaster...Dubois
Requested by...Sierra Blackwell
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617166.0/JAX
.DELDT 07/10/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL matthew.klindt@fdacs.gov,sierra.blackwell@fdacs.gov,matthew.dedmon@fdacs.gov,chaz.wollitz@fdacs.gov,faith.sims@fdacs.gov