Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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506
FNUS72 KJAX 100504
FWSJAX

Spot Forecast for Balu Forest 2A...Alachua County EPD
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
104 AM EDT Thu Jul 10 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on July 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Good dispersion values are expected today as southwest winds
continue. Rain and storm chances will begin in the early afternoon,
with highest chances between 2-6pm. Within thunderstorms, heavy
downpours and gusty and erratic winds are possible. Southwest
winds continue Friday, as well as good dispersion values, but
precipitation chances will be higher than Thursday.

.TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........52  44  35  27  44  37  39  49  58  63  35  47
Weather cov.....                            SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  10  20  50  50  40  40
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  10  20  50  50  40  40
Temp............75  76  77  80  84  87  89  90  90  91  91  90
RH..............96  94  95  91  82  75  68  66  64  62  62  62
Heat index (F)..73  74  76  79  90  97  100 103 103 105 103 102
Wind chill (F)..73  74  76  79  82  85  87  89  90  91  91  90
20 FT wind dir..S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..1   1   2   2   3   5   6   6   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.2   2   3   3   6   7   9   9   10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.6 1.3 2.1 2.7 3.2 3.8 4.3 3.6 2.9 2.2
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.5   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   8   9   9
Dispersion idx..2   3   6   9   19  24  28  32  31  29  33  28
LVORI...........8   8   7   5   3   3   3   2   1   2   1   2

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........39  35  33  39  36  32  26  19  13  20  26  33
Weather cov.....CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).40  30  10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).40  30  10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0
Temp............88  87  85  83  81  79  78  77  76  75  74  74
RH..............66  70  72  74  79  88  91  90  90  94  97  97
Heat index (F)..99  95  92  89  85  78  77  76  75  74  74  74
Wind chill (F)..88  86  84  82  80  78  77  76  75  74  74  74
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S
20 FT wind spd..7   6   6   5   3   2   2   2   2   2   1   2
20 FT wind gust.10  9   9   7   6   3   3   3   3   3   2   3
Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 1.9 1.7 1.3 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.10  10  10  12  12  12  10  8   7   6   5   5
Dispersion idx..27  25  5   5   5   5   4   4   3   3   2   2
LVORI...........3   3   3   3   4   5   6   6   6   7   7   7

.FRIDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........28  24  19  22  24  27  29  32  34  34  35  35
Weather cov.....                                LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                LKY LKY LKY LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  60  60  60  60
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  60  60  60  60
Temp............74  74  76  79  83  87  89  91  92  92  92  91
RH..............97  100 97  91  82  75  70  64  60  60  58  60
Heat index (F)..74  74  76  79  91  99  103 103 105 105 103 102
Wind chill (F)..74  74  76  79  83  87  90  91  92  92  91  90
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..1   2   2   3   3   5   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.2   3   3   6   6   7   9   9   9   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.8 0.9 1.7 2.6 3.4 3.9 4.4 4.9 4.4 3.8 3.3
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.5   6   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   8   8   9
Dispersion idx..2   2   7   13  21  28  33  38  42  44  40  39
LVORI...........8   9   7   5   3   3   3   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Klingler
Requested by...Ryan Kennelly
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2517680.0/JAX
.DELDT 07/10/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL rkennelly@alachuacounty.us