Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5
455
FNUS72 KJAX 261327
FWSJAX

Spot Forecast for RX CSF Pavilion...Florida Forest Service
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
927 AM EDT Fri Sep 26 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on September 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Initially light scattered convection is anticipated to develop in
across the vicinity of the burn site today as convection
progresses from west to east, becoming more widespread this
afternoon with stronger developments occurring along the sea
breeze collision east of Bryceville. Developments will become more
scattered and dispersed overnight with mostly showers continuing
through morning.

.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM
Sky (%).........27  29  27  52  57  59  67  68  70
Weather cov.....            SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY DEF
Weather type....            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCT SCT
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  20  30  40  50  70  80
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  10  10  10  40  50  50  70
Temp............76  82  86  88  90  90  90  88  87
RH..............94  77  68  61  58  56  56  59  61
Heat index (F)..77  88  94  99  100 100 99  98  93
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  W   SW  SW  SW  S   SW  S
20 FT wind spd..2   3   5   5   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.3   6   7   7   9   9   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 2.1 3.1 4.0 4.7 4.9 4.6 3.8 2.9
Transp wind dir.SW  W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.6   7   8   8   7   7   7   8   8
Dispersion idx..9   19  32  41  44  43  41  37  28
LVORI...........7   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   2

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM
Sky (%).........73  81  73  78  70  77  57  60  50  63  61  77
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH     SCH SCH CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW      RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCT SCT SCT SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH     SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).70  70  70  50  40  20  20  20  10  20  20  30
Chc of thdr (%).70  60  30  30  30  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............83  81  77  75  74  73  73  72  72  71  70  70
RH..............72  77  90  94  97  100 97  97  97  97  100 100
Heat index (F)..90  86  77  75  74  72  71  71  71  71  70  70
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  S   S   SE  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..5   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.7   6   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SW  W   W   W   SW  S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.8   8   7   7   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Dispersion idx..19  11  3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
LVORI...........3   4   6   7   8   9   9   9   8   9   10  10

.SATURDAY...
TIME (EDT)      2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM
Sky (%).........73  78  54  58  59  59  59  59  59  57  55  53
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  50  50  50  50  50  50  70  70  70  70
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  20  20  20  30  30  30  50  50  50  50
Temp............70  69  71  72  75  78  80  82  83  83  83  83
RH..............100 100 100 100 97  88  82  74  72  72  70  70
Heat index (F)..69  69  70  73  77  85  89  90  90  91  90  89
20 FT wind dir..S   SW  SW  W   SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   2   3   3   3   5   5   5   3   3
20 FT wind gust.2   2   2   3   6   6   6   7   7   7   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.6 2.3 2.9 3.3 3.6 3.7 3.6 3.2
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   SW  SW  SW  S   S
Transp wind spd.3   3   3   5   6   6   7   8   9   8   7   6
Dispersion idx..2   2   4   5   11  18  26  33  39  37  32  24
LVORI...........9   10  9   9   6   4   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Corless
Requested by...Desiree Liberacki
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2522575.0/JAX
.DELDT 09/26/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Michael.work@fdacs.gov,Sierra.blackwell@fdacs.gov,Desiree.liberacki@fdacs.gov