Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL
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500 FNUS72 KJAX 121459 FWSJAX Spot Forecast for Gold Head State Park...Florida Department of Environmental Protection National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 959 AM EST Wed Feb 12 2025 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EST on February 12. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. ...HIGH DAYTIME DISPERSION VALUES THIS AFTERNOON.. ...ELEVATED NIGHTTIME DISPERSION VALUES LATE TONIGHT... .DISCUSSION... Low clouds will dissipate late this morning as southerly surface and transport winds become breezy. Surface and transport will shift to south-southwesterly by late afternoon, with breezy conditions increasing daytime dispersion values to high levels during the mid and late afternoon hours today. Low cloud cover is expected to redevelop during the predawn and early morning hours on Thursday as surface and transport winds shift back to a southerly direction overnight, with breezy transport speeds resulting in elevated nighttime dispersion values developing during the overnight and predawn hours. Only isolated showers are possible during the late afternoon and early morning hours on Thursday as surface and transport winds shift to southwesterly, allowing daytime dispersion values to rise to good levels before noon ahead of widespread showers and embedded thunderstorms that will overspread the burn site during the mid to late afternoon hours. .REST OF TODAY... TIME (EST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........34 26 18 10 10 10 9 14 Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............73 77 79 82 83 84 85 83 RH..............76 60 50 45 40 40 35 40 Heat index (F)..72 75 78 82 83 82 83 83 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S SW SW SW 20 FT wind spd..9 12 13 14 14 14 13 12 20 FT wind gust.14 17 20 21 21 21 20 17 Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 2.8 3.8 4.2 4.8 5.3 5.4 3.0 Transp wind dir.S S S S S SW SW SW Transp wind spd.20 21 21 20 21 21 21 18 Dispersion idx..50 65 65 65 65 70 85 65 LVORI...........4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 .TONIGHT... TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........18 23 21 18 16 22 27 33 34 35 36 37 Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............79 74 71 69 67 66 66 66 66 65 65 66 RH..............54 71 79 87 93 97 97 100 100 100 100 100 Heat index (F)..78 74 69 68 67 66 66 66 65 65 66 66 20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S S S 20 FT wind spd..9 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 20 FT wind gust.14 13 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 13 13 13 Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 Transp wind dir.SW W SW SW SW SW SW S S S S S Transp wind spd.15 13 12 12 13 13 13 14 14 15 16 15 Dispersion idx..15 10 6 6 6 6 6 7 8 10 15 15 LVORI...........2 3 4 5 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 7 .THURSDAY... TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........38 40 40 41 42 47 53 58 62 66 70 73 Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 10 10 20 20 20 20 40 50 70 60 Temp............66 66 67 70 73 77 80 83 83 84 85 81 RH..............100 100 97 90 80 70 65 55 55 55 55 60 Heat index (F)..66 66 67 71 75 78 83 85 84 84 83 77 20 FT wind dir..S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW W W 20 FT wind spd..8 8 9 9 10 12 13 13 13 13 12 10 20 FT wind gust.13 13 14 14 16 17 20 20 20 20 17 16 Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.6 0.8 1.3 1.8 2.3 2.6 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 2.4 Transp wind dir.S S S S SW SW SW SW SW W W W Transp wind spd.14 14 15 17 20 21 22 23 23 22 21 17 Dispersion idx..15 15 15 30 45 55 55 60 60 60 60 55 LVORI...........7 5 5 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 $$ Forecaster...Nelson Requested by...Gabrielle Bradley Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2502864.0/JAX .DELDT 02/12/25 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL gabrielle.bradley@floridadep.gov