Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL
482 FNUS72 KJAX 030845 FWSJAX Spot Forecast for Ashley WF...NPS National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 445 AM EDT Sun Aug 3 2025 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 EDT on August 03. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO MIDNIGHT TODAY... .DISCUSSION... Several rounds of showers (this morning) and thunderstorms are likely today with a stalled front laying right across the fire area. Winds are expected to remain out of the northeast through the day at 8-15 mph. Erratic winds and perhaps a switch to southwesterly winds may occur between 2-5 PM when the strongest period of storms are likely to occur. There is a Flood Watch in effect today for the area with concerns of flash flooding possible in low-lying and flood prone locations. If smoke is an issue, dispersions will be fairly low through Monday. No humidity concerns or other significant fire weather conditions to note. .TODAY... TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........67 59 60 51 47 49 40 48 58 57 56 56 Weather cov.....CHC CHC SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF LKY Chc of pcpn (%).50 40 20 20 30 40 50 70 80 80 80 80 Chc of thdr (%).30 30 20 20 20 40 40 40 80 80 80 70 Temp............75 74 77 79 83 84 86 86 86 86 86 84 RH..............97 100 94 91 80 77 72 72 72 72 72 77 Heat index (F)..76 75 77 85 89 93 93 93 93 93 91 87 Wind chill (F)..76 75 77 80 82 84 84 84 84 84 83 81 20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW N N N E E NE NE 20 FT wind spd..2 2 2 3 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 20 FT wind gust.6 6 7 7 8 9 9 10 12 13 13 13 Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.5 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.0 1.8 1.8 1.7 Transp wind dir.W NW NW NW NW W NW NE NE NE NE NE Transp wind spd.6 6 6 6 6 6 7 8 8 10 12 12 Dispersion idx..3 3 8 9 11 15 19 20 21 22 25 26 LVORI...........7 8 6 6 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........73 83 89 82 86 80 79 60 72 62 65 41 Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF LKY CHC SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC Chc of pcpn (%).80 80 80 60 40 20 20 20 30 30 40 40 Chc of thdr (%).70 70 50 50 40 20 20 20 30 30 30 30 Temp............83 82 79 78 77 78 77 77 77 76 76 76 RH..............77 79 88 91 94 91 94 94 94 97 97 94 Heat index (F)..87 79 78 102 102 77 77 76 76 76 76 76 Wind chill (F)..81 79 78 91 91 77 77 76 76 76 76 76 20 FT wind dir..NE E SE E NE E S SE S S S S 20 FT wind spd..6 6 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 20 FT wind gust.12 10 9 8 7 7 7 6 7 6 6 6 Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 1.5 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.8 Transp wind dir.E SE SE SE E E E SE S S S S Transp wind spd.12 9 8 7 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 Dispersion idx..24 19 6 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 2 LVORI...........3 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 .MONDAY... TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........31 37 29 17 25 33 34 35 36 37 37 38 Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF Chc of pcpn (%).40 30 40 40 40 40 40 40 80 80 80 80 Chc of thdr (%).30 30 10 10 10 30 30 30 70 70 70 70 Temp............75 75 77 80 83 85 87 87 87 86 85 84 RH..............100 100 94 88 80 75 70 70 70 72 75 77 Heat index (F)..77 78 79 87 93 96 99 100 100 98 96 95 Wind chill (F)..77 78 79 81 84 86 87 88 88 87 86 85 20 FT wind dir..SW W W SW W N N NE E E E E 20 FT wind spd..2 2 2 2 3 6 7 7 7 7 8 8 20 FT wind gust.6 6 7 7 8 9 10 10 12 13 14 14 Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.7 2.1 2.4 2.8 3.1 2.8 2.4 2.1 Transp wind dir.S SW W W SW SW S SE E E E E Transp wind spd.5 5 5 5 5 6 7 7 8 9 10 12 Dispersion idx..2 2 5 8 11 15 20 25 31 33 33 31 LVORI...........9 8 6 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ Forecaster...Boothe Requested by...Patrick Lacienski Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2519095.0/JAX .DELDT 08/03/25 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL patrick_lacienski@nps.gov