Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
280
FNUS72 KJAX 030910
FWSJAX

Spot Forecast for Patriotic Skies...City of Ocala
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
510 AM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 EDT on July 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

...ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...An active period of afternoon thunderstorms is
expected on Independence Day as the Atlantic Sea breeze merges
with the Gulf in the vicinity of the I-95 corridor. A few strong
may be strong and capable of gusty winds up to 50 mph and
significant downpours that may lead to flooding. The peak of the
storm activity is likely between 4 PM and 8 PM with showers
lingering through 9 or 10 PM. It will be warm and humid, pushing
the "feels like" temperature toward the upper 90s by the early
evening. Winds will favor a southwest direction but become
variable at times during the evening; speeds should be under 10
mph outside of thunderstorm influences.

.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........69  53  73  62  57  62  68  68  67  73  67
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF
Chc of pcpn (%).20  40  40  40  50  60  70  70  70  70  80
Chc of thdr (%).20  20  20  20  50  50  50  70  70  70  80
Temp............74  75  78  80  82  84  84  85  85  84  84
RH..............97  97  97  94  88  82  82  80  80  82  82
Heat index (F)..74  75  78  89  92  96  95  97  97  93  92
Surface wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Surface wnd spd.2   2   3   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   5
Surface wnd gst.8   8   8   9   12  12  12  13  13  13  12
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W
Transp wind spd.8   8   8   9   9   10  10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........67  71  81  77  80  82  81  81  75  60  49  58
Weather cov.....DEF DEF CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........DEF DEF CHC CHC SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).80  90  40  30  20  10  10  0   10  10  0   10
Chc of thdr (%).80  80  40  30  20  10  10  0   10  10  0   10
Temp............82  80  79  78  77  76  76  76  75  75  75  75
RH..............88  91  94  97  100 100 97  94  97  97  97  97
Heat index (F)..93  89  79  78  77  77  76  76  75  74  74  74
Surface wnd dir.SW  S   SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Surface wnd spd.5   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Surface wnd gst.10  9   9   8   6   7   6   6   6   6   6   6
Transp wind dir.W   SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.10  10  10  9   8   8   7   7   6   6   6   7

$$
Forecaster...Boothe
Requested by...Brooke Perry
Type of request...OTHER
.TAG 2515673.0/JAX
.DELDT 07/03/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL bperry@ocalafl.gov