Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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890
FNUS72 KJAX 200035
FWSJAX

Spot Forecast for Road 66 (45)...Florida Forest Service
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
835 PM EDT Sat Jul 19 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2100 EDT on July 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EDT SUNDAY...
...HIGH DAYTIME DISPERSION VALUES ON SUNDAY & MONDAY AFTERNOONS...

.DISCUSSION...

Dry weather will prevail through early Sunday afternoon at the
wildfire site. Only isolated showers and thunderstorms are
possible during the mid-afternoon hours on Sunday, with dry
conditions most likely prevailing through Sunday night.
Southerly surface and transport winds this evening will shift
to southwesterly towards midnight and then westerly towards
sunrise on Sunday. Westerly surface and transport winds will
prevail through the late afternoon hours on Sunday, with speeds
increasing to around 10 mph during the late morning hours.
Surface winds will likely briefly shift to southeasterly during
the late afternoon hours through sunset as the Atlantic sea
breeze boundary pushes westward across the area. Elevated mixing
heights on Sunday will create marginally high daytime dispersion
values.

Chances for showers and thunderstorms will gradually increase
at the wildfire site on Monday, with at least scattered
thunderstorms expected by Monday afternoon. Strong to isolated
severe thunderstorms will be possible on Monday afternoon and
evening. Westerly surface and transport winds will prevail,
with elevated mixing heights creating high daytime dispersion
values on Monday afternoon. Heat index values will approach 110
degrees on both Sunday and Monday afternoons at the wildfire site.

.REST OF TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........16  13  11  9   8   7   6   6   5
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............86  84  83  82  81  80  79  78  78
RH..............70  74  77  79  82  82  85  88  88
Heat index (F)..95  93  91  88  87  86  84  79  78
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..5   5   3   2   2   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.7   7   6   3   3   2   2   2   2
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W
Transp wind spd.8   9   9   9   9   8   8   8   8
Dispersion idx..4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
LVORI...........3   3   4   4   5   5   5   6   6

.SUNDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........6   8   9   11  13  15  24  32  41  39  38  37
Weather cov.....                                SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   10  0   0   0   10  10  20  20  20  10
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  20  20  20
Temp............77  77  80  85  90  94  95  97  99  99  99  98
RH..............90  94  85  70  60  55  50  45  40  40  40  40
Heat index (F)..78  77  79  91  98  103 105 106 106 108 108 108
20 FT wind dir..SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SE
20 FT wind spd..1   1   2   3   5   6   6   6   6   6   7   7
20 FT wind gust.2   2   3   6   7   9   9   9   9   9   10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 0.6 1.7 2.7 3.8 4.6 5.4 6.2 6.0 5.8 5.6
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.8   8   8   8   8   8   9   9   10  10  10  10
Dispersion idx..4   4   10  20  30  40  55  65  80  80  70  65
LVORI...........6   6   4   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........38  39  40  34  28  22  21  21  21  21  21  21
Weather cov.....    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).10  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............98  97  94  90  88  86  86  84  83  80  79  79
RH..............40  45  50  55  59  63  63  67  70  77  82  82
Heat index (F)..105 100 97  93  90  88  88  85  84  84  79  78
20 FT wind dir..SE  S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W
20 FT wind spd..6   5   3   3   3   3   3   5   5   3   2   2
20 FT wind gust.9   7   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   6   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...4.1 2.5 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.9   8   6   6   6   6   7   8   9   9   9   8
Dispersion idx..50  25  5   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4
LVORI...........1   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5

.MONDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........26  31  37  38  39  40  47  54  62  61  61  61
Weather cov.....SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  30  30  30  30  30  30  50  50  50  50
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  50  50  50  50
Temp............78  78  81  86  92  95  95  97  98  97  95  93
RH..............85  88  82  70  58  53  53  48  47  46  49  52
Heat index (F)..78  78  85  92  98  103 106 109 107 106 106 103
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   5   5
20 FT wind gust.3   3   6   7   7   9   9   9   9   9   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.8 1.0 1.6 2.3 3.0 4.0 5.1 6.1 5.2 4.3 3.4
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.9   9   10  12  13  13  13  13  13  12  12  10
Dispersion idx..4   5   15  25  35  50  70  90  95  85  65  40
LVORI...........5   6   4   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Nelson
Requested by...Sean Dowie
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2518285.0/JAX
.DELDT 07/19/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL David.Sechrist@FDACS.GOV,derick.bills@fdacs.gov,Sean.Dowie@fdacs.gov