Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FNUS72 KJAX 061220
FWSJAX

Spot Forecast for RX Burn Oleno-1P...Oleno State Park
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
720 AM EST Tue Jan 6 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EST on January 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Dry weather will prevail through the end of this week at the
burn site. Lower cloud cover early this morning will dissipate
around or just after ignition time, with south-southwesterly
surface and transport winds shifting to southwesterly while
gradually increasing this afternoon. Increasing mixing heights
today will yield fair to good daytime dispersion values.
Transport winds will shift to westerly overnight, with speeds
remaining around 10 mph through Wednesday morning likely
limiting chances for widespread dense fog, although low cloud
cover and areas of fog are expected at the burn site during
the predawn and early morning hours on Wednesday. Low clouds
and areas of fog will dissipate by the mid-morning hours on
Wednesday, with slightly lower westerly surface and transport
winds and mixing heights generally yielding fair daytime
dispersion values at the burn site.


.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (EST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........49  40  33  34  43  39  40  34  30
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............54  60  66  70  73  75  75  75  73
RH..............100 93  75  70  65  60  60  60  65
20 FT wind dir..S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..1   2   3   6   6   7   8   8   7
20 FT wind gust.3   5   8   9   12  13  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.5 1.2 2.0 2.7 3.2 3.5 3.3 2.4
Transp wind dir.SW  S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.2   3   6   8   10  12  12  12  10
Dispersion idx..3   5   10  25  35  45  50  45  35
LVORI...........9   7   4   3   3   1   1   1   3

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........28  38  41  46  53  76  83  91  84  82  85  82
Weather cov.....                        PTY PTY PTY PTY ARS ARS
Weather type....                        FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............67  64  61  59  59  57  58  57  57  57  57  57
RH..............81  90  100 100 96  100 100 100 100 100 100 100
Wind chill (F)..64  60  57  56  54  53  52  51  51  50  49  49
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..6   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.13  12  13  12  12  12  12  12  10  9   8   7
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.9   8   9   10  10  10  10  10  10  9   9   9
Dispersion idx..20  10  5   6   6   6   6   5   4   4   4   4
LVORI...........3   6   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9

.WEDNESDAY...
TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........82  83  81  73  64  62  59  57  50  43  37  35
Weather cov.....ARS PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG
Chc of pcpn (%).0   10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............57  57  59  61  66  69  71  74  74  75  75  73
RH..............100 100 96  100 93  87  81  71  69  66  66  71
Wind chill (F)..48  49  52  56  61  66  70  74  75  76  74  71
20 FT wind dir..W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   5
20 FT wind gust.7   7   7   8   8   9   10  12  12  12  12  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.6 2.0 2.5 2.7 2.9 3.1 2.3
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.8   8   8   8   8   9   9   9   9   9   8   8
Dispersion idx..4   6   6   10  15  20  25  30  35  35  30  25
LVORI...........9   9   9   7   5   4   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Nelson
Requested by...Angela Watson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2528353.0/JAX
.DELDT 01/06/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL angela.watson@floridadep.gov