Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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533
FNUS72 KJAX 221614
FWSJAX

Spot Forecast for Waterhole...USFS
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
1214 PM EDT Tue Sep 22 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1300 EDT on September 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Precipitation chances are around 20-30% today through sunset, with
isolated thunderstorms possible. Tomorrow, storm chances increase
to around 40-50% as a front approaches and passes through the area
Wednesday night, dry conditions will follow behind the front Thursday
through the weekend. Winds will primarily be from the northeast through
the week, with good dispersion forecast each day. Winds within and
around showers and storms may be gusty and erratic. Tonight, patchy
fog is possible mainly in the pre-dawn hours. Afternoon maximum
heat index values peak around 100 degrees today and Wednesday.

.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........39  53  55  56  56
Weather cov.....    SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........    SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).10  20  20  20  20
Chc of thdr (%).10  20  20  20  20
Temp............88  90  89  89  86
RH..............61  58  59  59  68
Heat index (F)..96  98  97  97  94
Wind chill (F)..96  98  97  97  94
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  E
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   5
20 FT wind gust.9   10  12  12  13
Mix hgt (kft)...4.0 4.6 3.8 3.1 2.4
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.6   6   7   8   8
Dispersion idx..29  33  34  31  26
LVORI...........2   1   1   1   3

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........47     46     34     24     34     34
Weather cov.....S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20     0      0      0      0      0
Chc of thdr (%).20     0      0      0      0      0
Temp............85     78     76     74     73     72
RH..............70     88     94     97     97     100
Heat index (F)..93     78     76     74     73     72
Wind chill (F)..93     78     76     74     73     72
20 ft wind......E 3    E 2    N 0    N 0    N 0    N 0
20 ft wind gust.13     9      7      5      2      3
Mix hgt (ft)....1700   500    500    400    400    400
Transport wind..E 8    E 7    E 6    E 6    E 5    NE 5
Dispersion idx..19     3      3      3      2      2
LVORI...........3      6      6      8      8      10

.WEDNESDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........25  21  42  64  67  70  68  67  65  71  76  82
Weather cov.....                            CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   10  10  10  0   10  30  40  40  50  60
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  30  30  40  40
Temp............72  71  72  76  80  85  87  89  91  90  90  88
RH..............100 100 100 94  88  75  68  64  60  62  62  66
Heat index (F)..72  71  72  76  86  94  96  99  102 101 101 98
Wind chill (F)..72  71  72  76  86  94  96  99  102 101 101 98
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..0   1   0   1   5   8   9   9   9   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.6   7       2   7   13  14  14  14  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.3 2.2 3.2 3.9 4.6 5.3 4.4 3.6 2.8
Transp wind dir.NE  N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.5   6   7   7   8   8   9   9   9   9   9   9
Dispersion idx..2   3   6   12  23  32  37  43  34  33  32  29
LVORI...........10  9   8   5   4   3   3   1   1   1   1   3

$$
Forecaster...Klingler
Requested by...FICC
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2622328.0/JAX
.DELDT 09/22/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL flfic@firenet.gov