Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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964
FNUS72 KJAX 110450
FWSJAX

Spot Forecast for Longleaf Rx...SJRWMD
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
1250 AM EDT Fri Jul 11 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on July 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

The region will be between high pressure to the southeast,
and a trough of low pressure stretching across the southeastern US
through the weekend. Daily rounds of showers and thunderstorms expected,
mainly in the afternoon and evening hours. Gusty and erratic winds
can be expected in and near thunderstorms.

Heat index values will approach heat advisory levels.

.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........36  41  36  41  50  47  50  55  56  57  52
Weather cov.....    SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10  20  20  20  30  30  30  50  50  40  40
Chc of thdr (%).0   10  10  10  20  20  20  60  50  40  40
Temp............72  76  81  84  88  89  91  92  93  92  92
RH..............100 97  88  80  70  66  60  58  56  58  56
Heat index (F)..72  76  88  94  100 101 102 103 105 103 102
Wind chill (F)..72  76  81  84  88  89  91  92  93  92  92
20 FT wind dir..S   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..2   2   5   7   7   8   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.3   3   7   10  10  13  13  13  13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 1.4 2.3 2.6 3.0 3.6 4.4 3.9 3.3 2.6
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.6   7   7   8   9   9   9   9   8   8   8
Dispersion idx..3   7   12  23  29  34  39  46  41  35  28
LVORI...........9   7   5   3   3   3   1   1   1   1   2

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........47  54  52  55  49  44  34  26  23  33  35  37
Weather cov.....CHC CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).40  30  20  20  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).40  30  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............91  88  86  83  81  79  77  76  75  74  73  73
RH..............60  66  70  74  79  85  90  94  97  97  100 100
Heat index (F)..102 98  95  90  86  79  77  76  75  74  73  73
Wind chill (F)..91  88  86  83  81  79  77  76  75  74  73  73
20 FT wind dir..W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..8   8   6   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.13  13  9   6   6   6   6   3   3   3   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 1.1 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.9   9   9   9   8   8   7   7   6   6   6   6
Dispersion idx..20  13  6   6   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3
LVORI...........2   3   3   3   4   5   6   6   8   9   9   9

.SATURDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........36  33  36  13  13  12  11  11  10  14  18  22
Weather cov.....                                CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  40  40  40  40
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  40  40  40  40
Temp............72  72  75  80  85  89  91  93  95  95  94  93
RH..............100 100 100 91  80  70  66  60  54  53  54  56
Heat index (F)..72  72  75  87  97  103 106 107 108 107 106 105
Wind chill (F)..72  72  75  80  85  89  91  93  95  95  94  93
20 FT wind dir..SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   1   2   3   5   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.3   3   3   2   3   6   7   9   9   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.6 1.4 2.2 3.0 3.5 4.1 4.6 4.6 4.7 4.7
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.6   5   5   6   6   7   8   8   9   9   10  10
Dispersion idx..3   3   5   10  18  27  36  42  51  54  58  60
LVORI...........9   9   9   5   3   3   2   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Struble
Requested by...Land Manager
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2517770.0/JAX
.DELDT 07/11/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ACopeland@sjrwmd.com