377
FXUS62 KJAX 121717
AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
1217 PM EST Wed Nov 12 2025

...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit:
https://www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

- Elevated Fire Danger this Afternoon. Long Durations of
  CriticallyLow Humidity Values at All Inland Locations. Drought
  Conditions at Most Inland Locations. Elevated Westerly Winds
  this Afternoon Across Inland Southeast GA

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Through Tonight)
Issued at 1208 PM EST Wed Nov 12 2025

A weak southeast moving cold front will pass to the north of the
area this afternoon and evening. High pressure ridging will remain
in place across area through the night. The center of the high
Tonight will be just to the west of the area, providing a light
west/southwest flow. The combination of clear skies, and cold
airmass still in place will produce lows ranging from the upper
30s to lower 40s, except in the middle 40s at the beaches.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Thursday through Friday night)
Issued at 1208 PM EST Wed Nov 12 2025

The high will center more toward the north northwest Thursday, then
settle overhead on Friday through Friday night. This pattern will
keep the dry weather going, with mostly clear skies. Temperatures
will moderate back to seasonal levels during the day time hours this
period. The lows will be a little below normal though, due to the
clear skies.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1208 PM EST Wed Nov 12 2025

Broad high pressure will stretch across the area Saturday morning,
then settle to the south Saturday night, as a cold front approaches
from the north. As the ridge sinks to the south the flow will come
more from the southwest. This will help push temperatures closer to
80 Saturday afternoon, with another dry and sunny day. Lows
Saturday night will be near to a little below normal.

The cold front will move southeast into area late Sunday, then
across region Sunday night. This is expected to be a dry passage,
but with an increase in cloud coverage accompanying front. Highs
Sunday will be near 80, with lows in the lower to mid 50s Sunday
night.

Weak high pressure will build Monday, then move off to the east
Tuesday. Dry weather will persist Monday and Tuesday with
temperatures near to above average.

A cold front will move south across area Tuesday night through
Wednesday. At this point, precipitation chances are quite low, as
the boundary will encounter the drier air across the area.
Temperatures will remain above average through Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1208 PM EST Wed Nov 12 2025

Prevailing VFR conditions to persist this period.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1208 PM EST Wed Nov 12 2025

A southeast moving cold front will pass just to the north through
Tonight. The gradient between this feature and high pressure over
the Gulf, will result in a period with elevated winds. From
Thursday through Saturday high pressure will be the prevailing
weather feature affecting area waters. A cold front is expected to
move southeast across area Sunday through Sunday night. Weak high
pressure will build Monday.

Rip Currents: SE GA Low through Thursday
              NE FL Low Today, Moderate Thursday

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  41  73  41  74 /   0   0   0   0
SSI  48  71  51  71 /   0   0   0   0
JAX  43  73  44  75 /   0   0   0   0
SGJ  48  72  50  74 /   0   0   0   0
GNV  42  75  44  77 /   0   0   0   0
OCF  42  73  45  76 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$