869
FXUS64 KJAN 192113
AFDJAN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
413 PM CDT Sat Oct 19 2024

...New DISCUSSION, FIRE WEATHER...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 300 PM CDT Sat Oct 19 2024

High pressure remains in place through the week, so no big changes
expected to the forecast, overall it was good. Turned out to be a
nice day to be outside with generally clear skies, a light breeze
and highs around 80 for much of the area.

Some drier air may mix into the area Sunday through Tuesday and
lead to some lower dewpoint/RH values. Models continue to show
some drier air moving around the upper ridge from Canada. Stuck
with guidance for now, although the drier air isn`t represented.
Surface Winds were out of the southeast for a few hours this
afternoon although they were expected to be easterly. Subtle
changes in the speed and direction could lead to more persistent
values, basically lower to mid 40s and slightly higher humidity
values into early next week.

By mid week, the low pressure system and cold front bringing
storms to the plains will move into the upper midwest. The
dominant upper ridge keeps the system out of the area, but some
clouds and moisture may approach the ARKLAMS by midweek. The
boundary stalls just north of the area, so some small rain
chances may develop later in the week for areas north of I-20.
It`s still kinda early.

Above normal afternoon temperatures can be expected with generally
dry conditions continuing. Highs in the lower to mid 80s are
likely. Overnight lows may be slightly cooler(lower to mid 40s)
for the same reasons through Tuesday/Wednesday, dry conditions and
generally clear skies. Lows will slowly warm to normal by late
week, with values in the lower to mid 50s.



&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 956 AM CDT Sat Oct 19 2024 There were some
mid to high level clouds this morning with little to no impacts,
that continue to move out of the area. Guidance shows the area
remaining clear through the afternoon. VFR conditions will prevail
through the forecast period.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 300 PM CDT Sat Oct 19 2024

Will maintain the limited risk fire risk through Sunday. Overall
conditions will remain the same. Could see some drier air mix in
tomorrow afternoon that bring RH values near minimum thresholds,
but winds are expected to remain light for much of the day, so
limited still seems good.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       48  79  49  82 /   0   0   0   0
Meridian      45  78  47  81 /   0   0   0   0
Vicksburg     46  80  47  82 /   0   0   0   0
Hattiesburg   48  81  48  84 /   0   0   0   0
Natchez       49  80  48  82 /   0   0   0   0
Greenville    44  79  45  81 /   0   0   0   0
Greenwood     46  80  48  83 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

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