922
FXUS64 KJAN 092114
AFDJAN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
314 PM CST Sat Nov 9 2024

...New DISCUSSION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 311 PM CST Sat Nov 9 2024

Tonight through Sunday: A wet and mild weather pattern will
continue over the forecast area through the near term with a heavy
rainfall threat confined to portions of northeast LA into
southwest MS where tropical moisture will be drawn northward ahead
of a slow moving frontal boundary. Have made some minor
adjustments to the limited flood threat, but overall the threat is
about the same, and we should see it begin to diminish as we go
through Sunday. Total rainfall will be much lighter as you go into
northern and eastern portions of the forecast area. /EC/

Monday through next Saturday:

A progressive pattern will take shape on a synoptic scale this
upcoming workweek. Fairly zonal flow across Central conus to start
the period. Troughing over the rocky mountains will track into the
ArkLaMiss area Wednesday-Thursday while continuing to track into the
southeastern states Friday. Locally, Monday the surface low,
previously over the ArkLaMiss area, will lift and the front will
begin to wash out. This will cause rain and storm chances to taper
off for the start of the new work week. By Wednesday afternoon, the
mid to upper level trough with an associated cold front is expected
to cross the area. With weak forcing and the absense of excess
moisture rain chances will accompany the front, but significant
rainfall is not expected. Additionally, temperatures look to dip
closer to seasonal averages with high temperatures in the upper 60s
to lower 70s and overnight low temperatures in the mid 40s to lower
50s to end the period. /KP/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1210 PM CST Sat Nov 9 2024

Another day of low stratus continues along with considerable
shower activity and expect this to be the general rule through the
forecast period. Some improvement in ceilings can be expected
this afternoon into the evening but we`ll see the usual lowering
late tonight into early Sunday morning. /EC/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       69  79  65  78 /  80  90  60  20
Meridian      65  78  63  78 /  50  70  60  30
Vicksburg     68  78  63  76 /  90  80  40  10
Hattiesburg   69  81  66  83 /  40  50  30  30
Natchez       69  78  64  78 /  80  70  40  10
Greenville    66  76  58  74 /  70  70  20   0
Greenwood     66  78  60  76 /  80  80  40  10

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

EC/KP/EC