


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, MS
Issued by NWS Jackson, MS
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238 FXUS64 KJAN 091206 AAA AFDJAN Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Jackson MS 706 AM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Dry weather conditions with cooler mornings will prevail through this weekend. - Limited fire danger conditions are expected across portions of Northwest Mississippi, Northeast Louisiana, and Southeast Arkansas this afternoon. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 133 AM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025 In the wake of a weak cold front, drier air is already advecting into our region and will continue to do so through the weekend as upper ridging builds just west of our area. Though this dry regime will still allow for seasonably warm days, with highs ranging from near normal to slightly above normal, it will also make for cooler overnights and mornings. Cooler, meaning...closer to average for this time of year. We`ll take what we can get. Heading into next week, the upper ridge axis will shift only slightly eastward, maintaining surface high pressure across the Deep South. This will result in continued dry weather conditions, though temperatures will trend upward into the middle of next week as surface trajectories take on a more southerly component. Overall, in spite of the relief behind this front, temperatures will remain near to above normal through the forecast period. /DL/ && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 704 AM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025 VFR conditions with winds generally from the north at 5-10 kts will prevail through the TAF period at all sites. Some gusts up to around 20 kts possible most likely at KGLH. Few to scattered low clouds to move west into the forecast area after 00Z, but confidence in MVFR ceilings was too low to include in TAFs at this time. /NF/ && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 316 AM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025 Given the combination of potential for low RHs in the 25-30 percent range, wind gusts to around 15-20 kt, and antecedent dry conditions this afternoon, we will highlight a limited fire danger threat for northwestern portions of the area. RHs are not forecast to be as low tomorrow, but given the upcoming extended period of dry weather, fire danger potential will be monitored closely during the coming days. /DL/ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Jackson 84 59 81 56 / 0 0 0 0 Meridian 85 59 80 54 / 0 0 0 0 Vicksburg 83 56 81 56 / 0 0 0 0 Hattiesburg 89 62 83 57 / 0 0 0 0 Natchez 85 56 82 57 / 0 0 0 0 Greenville 80 55 81 54 / 0 0 0 0 Greenwood 82 57 82 54 / 0 0 0 0 && .JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MS...None. LA...None. AR...None. && $$ DL/DL/NF