075
FXUS64 KJAN 122348
AFDJAN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
648 PM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

 - Dry weather conditions with cooler mornings will prevail into
   this new week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1240 PM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025

High pressure ridging at the surface and aloft will continue to
prevail across the area tonight and Monday. There could be some
light patchy fog or ground fog tonight, other than that expect the
clear skies to continue with lows in the mid 50s. High pressure
and dry conditions will continue on Monday, with Highs in the mid
80s./15/

Monday night through Saturday:

Ridge to the west will propagates eastward across the ArkLaTex into
the Gulf Coast region through midweek. As it moves near or over the
northern Gulf, mean ridging will fall from around 593 to 595dam
to around 586dam into mid to late week. Low level trajectories
will become more southerly into late week, helping mean moisture
profiles to increase. Dry period is expected through the work
week, with continued curing of dry fuels and afternoon warmth and
low humidity (85F to 90F highs and 28 to 40 percent minimum RHs).
An increase in southerly return flow will help highs and lows
moderate seasonably warm (highs some 8F to 12F above by mid to
late week and lows some 10F to 15F by late week). There are some
indications of frontal convergence into next weekend and combined
with an increase in mean moisture, some scattered rain
probabilities next weekend (up to 30 percent).

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 647 PM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025

VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period with northerly,
generally light winds. /86/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       56  86  57  85 /   0   0   0   0
Meridian      54  85  55  85 /   0   0   0   0
Vicksburg     57  86  58  86 /   0   0   0   0
Hattiesburg   54  88  56  88 /   0   0   0   0
Natchez       56  87  57  86 /   0   0   0   0
Greenville    57  85  57  85 /   0   0   0   0
Greenwood     56  86  56  86 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

15/15/LP