Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Indianapolis, IN
Issued by NWS Indianapolis, IN
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325 FXUS63 KIND 061808 AFDIND Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Indianapolis IN 208 PM EDT Sun Sep 6 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Pleasant and less humid over the next couple of days. - Brief return of heat midweek with a chance of storms Wednesday Night into Thursday. && .DISCUSSION (This evening through Sunday)... Issued at 208 PM EDT Sun Sep 6 2026 Surface analysis this afternoon shows strong high pressure stretching across the Great Lakes, Ontario to Quebec. This was resulting in a dry and cooler flow of air to Central Indiana. GOES19 shows mainly clear skies across the area and the surface trough and humidity had pushed farther south to Alabama/MS/GA. Water Vapor continues to show strong ridging in place over the northern plains with NW flow spilling SE to MI and Indiana. Water Vapor shows subsidence in place over Indiana. Dew points across the area were much more pleasant, in the upper 50s and lower 60s. Tonight... Little overall change will be expected tonight. The high pressure to the NE will sag southward, maintaining control of our weather. Forecast soundings and time heights continue to show a dry column. Thus a clear night will be expected along with cooler low temperatures in the upper 50s. Monday through Tuesday... Pleasant late summer weather is expected for the holiday and as many folks return to work on Tuesday. Models shows the upper ridge axis to the west slowly advancing eastward toward Indiana. This steers any forcing dynamics well north of Central Indiana to Ontario, keeping our area protected from any forcing. The surface high pressure system to the northeast is expected to push to the eastern Great Lakes on Monday, continuing the cool and dry easterly surface flow to Indiana. On Tuesday, that high will sag southeast, reaching the middle Atlantic states. This will continue to keep the dry weather in place across Central Indiana, but southerly flow will return, allowing for warmer highs in the upper 80s. Forecast soundings each day show a dry column with a sufficient mid level inversion to prevent CU development. Thus mostly sunny days and mostly clear nights will be expected. Wednesday through Sunday... The upper pattern is much more progressive late this week and into the weekend compared to what we have experience the past week. A nearly steady Pacific, zonal flow is suggested to stream across the northern CONUS. A few embedded waves look to pass, mainly on Wednesday night into Thursday, followed by another wave on Saturday into Sunday. Best chances for rain will be on Wednesday Night in to Thursday as surface cold front is suggested to accompany the upper forcing. After high pressure passes through the area on Thursday Night through Friday, more storm chances will arrive on Saturday and Sunday as a less organized warm front arrives ahead of low pressure developing over the plains. This will bring warmer high temperatures to the area for next weekend. Overall, look for above normal temperatures as the quick nearly zonal upper flow aloft keeps any cool air intrusions at bay. && .AVIATION (18Z TAF Issuance)... Issued at 1213 PM EDT Sun Sep 6 2026 Impacts: - VFR this TAF Period Discussion: High pressure northeast of Indiana will continue to control our weather this TAF period, Unlimited cigs are expected as forecast soundings remain dry and subsidence remains predominate within the column. A mid level inversion will also prevent any diurnal CU development. && .IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ AVIATION...Puma DISCUSSION...Puma