


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
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547 FXUS61 KILN 201519 AFDILN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington OH 1119 AM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025 .SYNOPSIS... Cooler air will filter into the area through Thursday night, with near to slightly below average temperatures expected while expansive cloud cover lingers until Thursday evening. A brief warmup evolves Friday into Saturday. By Sunday through early next week, much cooler and drier air will settle into the Ohio Valley, leading to a prolonged period of abundant sunshine and below normal temperatures through the first half of next week. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... High pressure moves into the Upper Great Lakes this afternoon into tonight. Relatively cool, moist northerly flow southeast of the high keeps clouds in place through the period. After peaking in the 70s across most locations late this afternoon, temperatures drop back into the 60s tonight. A stray shower or sprinkle cannot be ruled out in the sprawling stratocumulus fields. && .SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... Surface high pressure over the Great Lakes remains in place Thursday and Thursday night. Northerly flow persists along with fairly abundant cloud cover which limits highs to the upper 70s for most locations outside of southern Ohio and northern Kentucky. Dew points do not dry out much and stay in the middle 60s despite northerly winds. Skies may finally start to scatter more late Thursday afternoon although this remains fairly uncertain due to moisture being in place. With winds relaxing Thursday night and some clearing being possible, forecast lows drop a few degrees cooler into the middle to lower 60s. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... A west to east oriented mid level ridge axis nosing into the Ohio Valley will weaken through the day on Friday. Temperatures will be seasonable with highs in the mid to possibly upper 80s. An upper level low pressure system will move across the northern Great Lakes through the weekend, helping to carve out a broader trough across the central and eastern CONUS heading into next week. Highs on Saturday will range from the mid 80s in the northwest to around 90 degrees in our far southeast. A cold front associated with the upper level trough will move through the area Saturday night into Sunday. Moisture is fairly limited so expect any shower activity to be minimal. Behind the cold front, a much cooler airmass will settle into the region with below normal temperatures expected through the first part of the week. Highs on Sunday will range from the mid 70s northwest to the mid 80s southeast with highs Monday through Wednesday only in the 70s across the entire area. && .AVIATION /15Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... Widespread MVFR ceilings may lift to a VFR cloud bases this afternoon due to diurnal mixing. Ceilings are then expected to lower back into the MVFR category after 0600z tonight from northeast to southwest. Ceilings are likely to scatter and lift to VFR once again around 1800z Thursday. Northerly/northeasterly winds from 5-15 knots persist. OUTLOOK...MVFR CIGs are likely, with IFR CIGs possible, through Thursday. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. KY...None. IN...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...Campbell NEAR TERM...Campbell SHORT TERM...Campbell LONG TERM...JGL AVIATION...Campbell