Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
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255 FXUS61 KILN 191928 AFDILN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington OH 328 PM EDT Sat Oct 19 2024 .SYNOPSIS... High pressure will continue to predominate with temperatures above normal. A cold front will move through midweek with only a minimal chance of rain. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/... Quiescent conditions will continue with very dry airmass in place. River valley fog will develop once again late. Lows will be a few degrees warmer than last night. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... High pressure will persist. A bit of mid level moisture may cross the Great Lakes Sunday night, but expect clear skies to prevail through the period. Valley fog will dissipate early but then likely redevelop late Sunday night. A slight warming trend will continue. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... This period will feature high pressure and dry air for the most part, though a couple of weak systems will bring a low threat for showers. Dry weather is very likely for Monday into Wednesday when high pressure is forecast to track slowly from the Ohio Valley to the East Coast. Model blend indicates that a cold front containing limited moisture will provide a slight chance of showers Wednesday evening mainly over northern locations. Following high pressure and another dry interlude on Thursday, a weak disturbance could trigger a few more showers Friday afternoon to Saturday morning. Temperatures will be warm at the start, with highs reaching the mid and upper 70s Monday through Wednesday in the return flow around the first high. A retreat to the upper 50s to mid 60s may be observed on Thursday in the northerly flow behind the cold front. Readings are predicted to rebound to the upper 60s and low 70s by Saturday as insolation and warm advection return behind the disturbance. && .AVIATION /20Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... Only concern is for fog causing visibility restrictions at KLUK once again overnight. At this point kept visibility at MVFR but IFR is not out of the question. Otherwise, clear skies with winds less than 5 kt. OUTLOOK...No significant weather expected. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. KY...None. IN...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS... NEAR TERM... SHORT TERM... LONG TERM...Coniglio AVIATION...