743
FXUS61 KILN 070502
AFDILN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
102 AM EDT Mon Sep 7 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Tranquil weather to start the week. A cold front will then move
through Wednesday night into Thursday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1)
High pressure centered over the Great Lakes will keep a dry and
cooler airmass in place throughout the day on Monday. By Tuesday, the
high begins to shift east, bringing a return of southerly flow and a
warming trend. Temperatures on Tuesday rise into the upper 80s,
while low 90s are forecast for Wednesday.

A short wave will track from the northern Plains across the upper
Great Lakes, pushing a cold front into the area Wednesday into
Thursday. Given how far removed ILN is from the warm sector of the
system, moisture ahead of the front isn`t robust. However, as the
front slowly sags down into the region, it looks to nearly stall out
(or be very slow to progress) and PWATs along the front are forecast
to be around 200% of normal. While, at this junction, severe weather
doesn`t look overly likely, any training storms along the slow moving
boundary would introduce a flash flooding threat.

While exact timing on FROPA is a bit ambiguous, ensembles suggest
that it will be passing through the FA on Thursday. Once this front
passes through the region, cooler and drier air will once again
filter in for the end of the work week.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
No major changes from the previous TAFs. Northeast winds overnight
will increase again on Monday and become more easterly.

Patchy river valley fog is possible overnight, so have dropped LUK
accordingly. Any fog will burn off shortly after sunrise and we`ll
again have some patchy diurnal cu across the region.

OUTLOOK...Thunderstorms possible Wednesday night into Thursday.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Aiena
AVIATION...Aiena