


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
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475 FXUS61 KILN 221741 AFDILN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington OH 141 PM EDT Tue Apr 22 2025 .SYNOPSIS... Slightly cooler and drier conditions are expected for most of the week, with warmer and more humid conditions expected by late this week. Showers and storms are back into the area by Thursday and Friday. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... Dry and pleasant airmass with surface high pressure directly over the area. Some high clouds, but otherwise light and variable winds and dewpoints in the upper 30s with temperatures rising to upper 60s/near 70 this afternoon. && .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/... Surface high pressure remains centered just east of the Ohio Valley Tuesday night through Wednesday. Light southerly flow will help to moderate temperatures a bit with highs on Wednesday reaching into the upper 70s. Fair weather skies persist. && .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/... In quasi-zonal flow, a mid level short wave will move east from the central Plains and into the Ohio Valley Thursday into Friday. Developing southwest flow ahead of this will help a warm front lift north across the Ohio Valley Thursday into Thursday night, followed by a cold front Friday night. This will lead to scattered showers and chance of thunderstorms Thursday into Thursday night with more widespread showers and thunderstorms then overspreading the area Friday into Friday night. Temperatures will remain above normal with highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s on Thursday and the mid to upper 70s on Friday. Pcpn will taper off through Saturday morning behind the front, with a drier and somewhat cooler airmass settling into the region through the rest of the weekend. Highs Saturday and Sunday will be in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Southwest flow will begin to reestablish itself during the day on Monday, leading to some lower end chances for showers and thunderstorms and warmer temperatures. Highs on Monday will be in the mid to upper 70s. && .AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... Very simple VFR TAFs, with high pressure dominating over the next 24 hours. The only addition/change was to increase surface winds after 15z as a very slight pressure gradient begins as the high slowly begins moving east Wednesday afternoon. OUTLOOK...Thunderstorms possible Thursday into Friday. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. KY...None. IN...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...JDR NEAR TERM...JDR SHORT TERM...Campbell LONG TERM...JGL AVIATION...JDR