Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
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743 FXUS61 KILN 081808 AFDILN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington OH 108 PM EST Fri Nov 8 2024 .SYNOPSIS... Gradually increasing clouds but still dry weather will dominate the first part of the weekend as high pressure passes through the lower Great Lakes and Mid Ohio Valley. An area of low pressure approaching from the central plains will bring a chance of rain Saturday night with rain likely on Sunday. Above normal temperatures will continue well into the work week. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... High thin cirrus approaching the tri state area, but otherwise northwest flow slowly pivoting to more northerly as the surface high pressure from the northern plains progresses into the Great Lakes. Mostly sunny elsewhere, with winds increasing to gusts approaching 20mph mainly north of I-70 under a slight pressure gradient. Still expecting above normal temperatures with highs in the lower to mid 60s. && .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/... The sfc high pressure drifts to the E of the region tonight into Saturday, allowing for sfc flow to become more easterly, providing a reinforcing nudge of dry air by Saturday afternoon. For tonight, aside from some cirrus from time-to-time, mostly clear conditions are on tap once again. Low temps will range from the lower 40s in the Tri-State/N KY to the mid/upper 30s in central OH. Cloud cover will be on the increase Saturday ahead of the next weather-maker, which will begin to impact the ILN FA by Saturday night. Highs will range from the upper 50s in the N to the mid 60s in the S, with cloud cover expected to overspread the area from SW to NE by late in the day. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... A low pressure system will be moving northeast out of the Plains towards the Great Lakes on Saturday night into Sunday morning. A warm front associated with the low lifts through the Ohio Valley during this timeframe bringing widespread rainfall. Strong WAA continues into the day on Sunday which will likely allow dew points to reach up near 60 by 3pm. On Sunday evening, a cold front moves through the Ohio Valley bringing an end to widespread rainfall. High pressure tries to build in from the north for Monday and Tuesday. Dry weather and cooler temperatures return. Rain chances increase by the second half of the work week when another low is forecast to form near the Great Lakes. && .AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... High pressure building into the area, with scattered mostly thin Cirrus. Light winds will pivot from NW to easterly through the forecast period. With a day of sun and drying conditions, and high pressure abetting a little less low level moisture, not expecting the somewhat persistent BR and FG that lingered at KLUK/KILN and KLCK this morning. With approaching clouds expected to be scattered and mostly thin between 06-12z, still some potential for higher level MVFR visibilities at the previously mentioned locations. Otherwise, VFR conditions expected through the TAF period. OUTLOOK...MVFR conditions will be possible Sunday into Monday. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. KY...None. IN...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...JDR NEAR TERM...JDR SHORT TERM...KC LONG TERM...Campbell AVIATION...JDR