336
FXUS61 KILN 242332
AFDILN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
632 PM EST Sun Nov 24 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will approach from the west and cross the area late
Monday through Monday evening. High pressure will build in
behind the front. A storm system passing south of the region
Wednesday night into Thursday will bring the next round of
precipitation.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...
High pressure will get pushed further east this evening allowing
the pressure gradient to increase across the region ahead of an
approaching cold front. Increasing southerly winds will bring
clouds back into the region during the latter part of the night.
Temperatures will be able to drop off relatively quickly in the
evening before steadying out or perhaps even rising a bit later.
Lows will range from the mid 30s to the east of Columbus to the
mid 40s in parts of the Tri-State.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
Cold front will move into the area Monday afternoon and pass off
to the east by late evening. Forcing with this system does not
become well aligned until it is starting to move out of the
forecast area. There could be some light showers in the morning
but better coverage will occur later in the afternoon into the
early evening both along a subtle pre-frontal trough as well as
the cold front itself. Rainfall amounts with this look rather
light. High pressure will start to build in late Monday night,
but clouds may not start to decrease until towards daybreak
Tuesday.

Highs will rise into the mid 50s to lower 60s with lows in the
mid 30s to lower 40s.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Tuesday looks to be dry as high pressure pushes across the Ohio
Valley. Rain returns Wednesday when vigorous low pressure is
forecast to reach Kentucky. Precipitation chances continue on
Thanksgiving, with rain and snow possible as colder air filters in
behind the low. A low chance of snow and rain lingers on Friday as
the system tracks slowly east. High pressure and dry weather appear
likely on Saturday. A ripple of short wave energy and moisture could
trigger snow Saturday night and Sunday.

Near normal high temperatures are forecast to start the period, with
highs in the 40s Tuesday and Wednesday. Readings slip to the upper
30s to low 40s on Thanksgiving, before a more significant drop to
the 30s is observed Friday, followed by even colder 20s and 30s
Saturday and Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION /23Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
High level clouds will thicken up through the evening hours and
then start to lower through the overnight in developing
southwest flow. This will lead to some LLWS overnight into
early Monday morning, mainly at the southern TAF sites.

As a cold front approaches from the west, cigs will lower into
MVFR later Monday morning. Pcpn will then develop through the
afternoon and continue into Monday evening as the cold front
moves into the region. Some MVFR to locally IFR vsbys will be
possible at times with the pcpn into Monday evening. Southerly
winds around 10 knots will swing around to the west as the front
moves through Monday evening.

OUTLOOK...MVFR to IFR ceilings will occur into Tuesday
morning with some MVFR visibilities possible as well. MVFR to
IFR ceilings and visibilities will be possible again Wednesday
night into Thursday.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...Coniglio
AVIATION...JGL