Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
657 FXUS61 KILN 101804 AFDILN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington OH 204 PM EDT Sun Aug 10 2025 .SYNOPSIS... High pressure will continue to dominate the region through the first part of the week, bringing mostly dry conditions and above normal temperatures. A weak cold front will move through midweek bringing some showers and thunderstorms. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... High pressure centered over the Mid Atlantic will keep light winds and with fairly high based diurnal CU with an isolated shower possible especially west of I-75. Light winds and ample low level moisture will again bring valley fog across especially the south. Overnight lows generally in the upper 60s east with near 70 across the west. && .SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/... Very small progression of the mid level trough and associated frontal boundary in the central plains, as the eastern CONUS ridge slow to drift eastward. But enough movement and increased instability could bring isolated convection generally along/west of I-71 in the 20-23z timeframe. Above normal temperatures continue with highs in the upper 80s/lower 90s and lows increasing slightly to the near 70 to lower 70s. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... H5 troughing moves through the Great Lakes heading into the mid- week. Additionally, guidance is in decent agreement that a swath of deeper moisture will move into the Ohio Valley during this time. This will lead to a better chance of diurnal showers and storms with slightly lower high temperatures for Wednesday and Thursday. Locally heavy rain can`t be ruled out with the storms that develop. After this, mid-level ridging will begin to build back into the area from the southwest. Apparent temperatures will reach into the 90s Tuesday, then again heading into next weekend. && .AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... Sct to briefly broken VFR CU through 23-00z, and can`t rule out an isolated shower or thunderstorm mainly west of KCVG/KLUK/KDAY. MVFR to possibly IFR visibility at KLUK in the 08-12z timeframe. After 16z, expectation is more prolific but still VFR cu, with slightly more favorable conditions for isolated convection again mostly west of TAF locations, not enough to mention in TAFs. OUTLOOK...Thunderstorms are possible Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. KY...None. IN...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...JDR NEAR TERM...JDR SHORT TERM...JDR LONG TERM... AVIATION...JDR