Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
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FNUS72 KILM 110801
FWSILM
Spot Forecast for Covington Fire...SC Forestry Commission
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
401 AM EDT Tue Mar 11 2025
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0500 EDT on March 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative...or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast...contact the National Weather
Service in Wilmington at 910-762-1374.
.DISCUSSION...
Low pressure will shift increasingly offshore today with gusty
northwest winds subsiding this afternoon. Warm and dry conditions
will continue through the end of the week under high pressure.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
.REST OF TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........98 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 12 mph.
Min mixing hgt......700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 26 mph.
Min vent rate.......Poor (17363 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........4.
Min ADI.............24.
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
TIME (EDT) 5AM
Sky (%).........66
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of ltng (%).0
Temp............50
RH..............84
20 FT wind dir..N
20 FT wind spd..12
20 FT wind gust.19
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7
Transp wind dir.N
Transp wind spd.26
Stability.......D
LVORI...........4
ADI.............24
Vrate mph-ft/1K.17
Ventrate Cat....PR
Sfc pres (in)...968
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 10 mph.
Max mixing hgt......2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 17 to 25 mph shifting to the northwest
around 14 mph late in the afternoon.
Max vent rate.......Fair (57089 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........4.
Max ADI.............63.
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........32 13 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of ltng (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............50 49 47 50 55 59 63 66 68 70 70 70
RH..............83 84 86 76 64 54 44 38 35 35 35 36
20 FT wind dir..N N N N N N N N N NW NW NW
20 FT wind spd..10 9 8 9 9 9 9 8 8 7 7 6
20 FT wind gust.18 17 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 13 12 10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.5 1.0 1.3 1.7 1.9 2.5 2.8 2.9 2.9 1.3
Transp wind dir.N N N N N N N N N N N NW
Transp wind spd.25 22 22 23 23 22 21 21 21 18 17 14
Stability.......C C C C C C C C C C B B
LVORI...........4 4 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2
ADI.............19 17 17 27 40 47 50 59 63 58 62 23
Vrate mph-ft/1K.15 12 11 23 31 37 40 51 57 54 50 18
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR PR
Sfc pres (in)...968 968 978 978 978 985 985 985 983 983 983 983
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 45.
Max humidity........91 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph early in the evening
becoming light.
Min mixing hgt......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 13 mph.
Min vent rate.......Poor (3936 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........4.
Min ADI.............5.
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........0 0 0 0 0 0
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of ltng (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............69 60 55 53 51 49
RH..............39 58 68 72 75 78
20 ft wind......W 5 W 2 W 2 W 2 W 2 W 2
20 ft wind gust.8 4 4 4 4 4
Mix hgt (ft)....800 400 400 400 400 400
Transport wind..NW 13 W 10 W 12 W 13 W 13 W 13
Stability.......F F F F F F
LVORI...........2 3 3 3 4 4
ADI.............6 5 5 6 6 6
Vrate mph-ft/1K.10 4 5 5 5 5
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
Sfc pres (in)...29.83 29.88 29.88 29.92 29.91 29.91
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the
afternoon.
Max mixing hgt......3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 9 to 14 mph shifting to the south 16 to 17
mph late in the afternoon.
Max vent rate.......Fair (47534 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........5.
Max ADI.............57.
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........0 0 0 0 0 0
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of ltng (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............47 46 59 69 73 74
RH..............83 91 60 47 40 39
20 ft wind......W 2 SW 2 W 2 SW 3 S 6 S 7
20 ft wind gust.4 4 5 7 9 12
Mix hgt (ft)....400 400 700 2000 3800 2500
Transport wind..W 12 W 10 W 9 W 12 SW 13 S 16
Stability.......B B B B B B
LVORI...........4 5 2 1 1 1
ADI.............12 11 10 30 57 51
Vrate mph-ft/1K.4 4 7 24 48 40
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR FAIR FAIR
Sfc pres (in)...29.92 29.97 29.97 30.00 29.94 29.94
$$
Forecaster...Weiner
Requested by...State Prevention Coordinator
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2504567.60/ILM
.DELDT 03/11/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nash.chris@horrycountysc.gov,sphillips@scfc.gov,mney@scfc.gov,dmills@scfc.gov,djones@scfc.gov,dcarroll@scfc.gov,tannerj@horrycountysc.gov,cwatson@scfc.gov,rholt@scfc.gov,LoeperT@horrycountysc.gov,clined@horrycountysc.gov,crevels@scfc.gov,wallace.loren@horrycountysc.gov,ewest@scfc.gov,ammons.nickolas@horrycountysc.gov,ksmith@scfc.gov,norket.michael@horrycountysc.gov,lawson.ben@horrycountysc.gov