Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
755
FNUS72 KILM 121850
FWSILM
Spot Forecast for Sunset Rd Fire...NCFS
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
250 PM EDT Mon May 12 2025
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1500 EDT on May 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative...or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast...contact the National Weather
Service in Wilmington at 910-762-1374.
.DISCUSSION...
Moderate to occasionally heavy rainfall is expected through early
Tuesday as a large upper low over the Gulf States advects
northward. Scattered thunderstorms possible Tuesday afternoon. A
warming and drying trend starts late Wednesday and
the late week period looks hot and mostly rain-free.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers late
in the afternoon. Slight chance of
thunderstorms through the day. Showers likely
late in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........84 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms.
Max mixing hgt......2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 21 to 22 mph.
Max vent rate.......Fair (49350 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........4.
Max ADI.............59.
Chance of lightning.50 percent.
TIME (EDT) 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........87 95 94
Weather cov.....CHC LKY LKY
Weather type....RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH
Chc of thdr (%).50 50 40
Chc of ltng (%).50 50 40
Temp............76 75 74
RH..............84 86 87
20 FT wind dir..S SE SE
20 FT wind spd..9 9 8
20 FT wind gust.17 17 15
Mix hgt (kft)...2.3 2.3 2.1
Transp wind dir.S S S
Transp wind spd.21 22 22
Stability.......C C C
LVORI...........4 4 4
ADI.............56 59 55
Vrate mph-ft/1K.48 49 45
Ventrate Cat....FR FR FR
Sfc pres (in)...012 012 005
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Slight chance of
thunderstorms in the evening. Showers through
the night. Chance of thunderstorms overnight.
Chance of thunder...60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 68.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms in the
evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms overnight.
Min mixing hgt......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 17 to 22 mph.
Min vent rate.......Poor (7733 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........5.
Min ADI.............15.
Chance of lightning.60 percent.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........96 96 96 96 97 97 97 96 96 95 95 94
Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of thdr (%).40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 50 50 50 60
Chc of ltng (%).40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 50 50 50 60
Temp............73 72 71 71 71 70 70 70 70 70 70 70
RH..............89 91 93 93 92 92 92 92 92 92 93 93
20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..8 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 8
20 FT wind gust.15 15 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.S S SE SE SE S SE S S S S S
Transp wind spd.21 17 18 18 21 22 22 22 21 20 20 18
Stability.......D D D D D D D D D D D D
LVORI...........4 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
ADI.............23 15 16 16 19 20 20 20 19 18 18 16
Vrate mph-ft/1K.31 16 11 8 9 10 9 10 10 9 10 10
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
Sfc pres (in)...005 005 003 003 003 003 003 003 999 999 999 996
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Showers likely
and chance of thunderstorms in the morning,
then chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........77 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 8 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms early in the
morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms early in the morning.
Max mixing hgt......2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 21 mph.
Max vent rate.......Fair (48389 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........5.
Max ADI.............57.
Chance of lightning.60 percent.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........90 85 81 76 71 67 65 63 61 51 42 32
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of thdr (%).60 60 60 60 60 50 40 40 30 30 30 20
Chc of ltng (%).60 60 60 60 60 50 40 40 30 30 30 20
Temp............70 70 70 71 72 74 75 76 77 77 77 77
RH..............93 93 92 90 88 84 82 80 78 77 77 77
20 FT wind dir..S SE SE SE S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..8 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 8 8 8
20 FT wind gust.14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.5 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.7 2.3 2.2 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.4
Transp wind dir.SE S SE SE S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.20 18 18 20 18 20 21 18 18 16 15 15
Stability.......C C C C C C C C C C B B
LVORI...........5 5 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3
ADI.............15 14 28 31 30 42 57 48 54 46 48 45
Vrate mph-ft/1K.11 9 22 24 24 33 48 40 48 41 38 35
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR PR PR
Sfc pres (in)...996 996 998 998 998 990 990 990 984 984 984 983
$$
Forecaster...Oliva
Requested by...Clell Britt
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2513770.0/ILM
.DELDT 05/12/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL charles.britt@ncagr.gov,Dakota.paris@ncagr.gov