600
FNUS72 KILM 220858
FWSILM

Spot Forecast for MMcE...SCHTP
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
358 AM EST Sat Feb 22 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EST on February 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast...contact the National Weather
Service in Wilmington at 910-762-1374.

.DISCUSSION...
After a very cold morning, a warming trend will commence as high
pressure shifts offshore later today with predominantly dry
weather holding in place through the weekend.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight is Low.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent), becoming mostly sunny
                    (15-40 percent) mid afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 53.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds.
Max mixing hgt......4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 10 mph shifting to the south 7 to 13
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Max vent rate.......Fair (54167 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........5.
Max ADI.............64.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........3   3   2   1   0   2   4   5   16  27  38  33
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............26  26  29  32  37  42  46  48  50  52  52  51
RH..............87  86  80  72  61  50  44  40  38  35  34  38
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  E   E   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   3   3   2
20 FT wind gust.2   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   5   5   4
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.4 2.2 2.8 3.4 3.8 4.3 4.3 2.3
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  E   E   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.10  10  8   8   7   7   7   8   9   12  13  12
Stability.......A   A   A   B   B   B   B   B   B   B   B   B
LVORI...........5   5   4   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............10  10  8   8   13  19  24  33  42  58  64  34
Vrate mph-ft/1K.4   4   4   6   10  15  19  27  35  49  54  27
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  PR
Sfc pres (in)...037 038 038 038 042 042 042 032 032 032 024 024

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Patchy fog after
                    3 am.
Min temperature.....Around 31.
Max humidity........98 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Min mixing hgt......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 10 mph shifting to the west around 8
                    mph after 3 am.
Min vent rate.......Poor (2720 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........9.
Min ADI.............3.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........29  24  28  33  37  25  13  1   1   1   0   1
Weather cov.....                                        PTY PTY
Weather type....                                        FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Temp............48  43  41  41  39  38  37  36  35  34  33  32
RH..............46  60  67  72  80  82  87  92  95  95  96  98
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   SW  SW  W
20 FT wind spd..2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.3   2   2   2   2   2
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.S   S   SE  S   SE  S   S   S   S   SW  W   W
Transp wind spd.8   7   9   10  10  9   9   9   9   8   8   8
Stability.......F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F
LVORI...........2   3   3   3   4   4   5   6   6   6   8   9
ADI.............4   3   4   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.3   3   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
Sfc pres (in)...024 021 021 021 021 021 021 017 017 017 013 013

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Patchy fog early in the
                    morning.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west around 5 mph early in
                    the afternoon, then becoming light late in the
                    afternoon.
Max mixing hgt......4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 9 mph.
Max vent rate.......Marginal (43730 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........6.
Max ADI.............51.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........2      2      0      0      0      0
Weather cov.....PATCHY
Weather type....FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............32     35     47     54     59     59
RH..............96     85     56     41     35     34
20 ft wind......W 1    NW 2   NW 3   W 5    W 5    W 3
20 ft wind gust.       3      4      6      6      6
Mix hgt (ft)....300    500    1700   3800   4800   4800
Transport wind..W 8    NW 7   NW 8   W 8    W 8    W 7
Stability.......A      B      B      B      B      B
LVORI...........6      4      2      1      1      1
ADI.............8      7      18     37     47     39
Vrate mph-ft/1K.3      3      14     31     40     33
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   FAIR   POOR
Sfc pres (in)...30.13  30.14  30.15  30.15  30.07  30.02

$$
Forecaster...Zouzias
Requested by...Johnny Stowe
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2503437.0/ILM
.DELDT 02/22/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL stowej@dnr.sc.gov