858
FNUS72 KILM 191333
FWSILM

Spot Forecast for Halyburton RX Burn...NCFS
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
933 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on August 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast...contact the National Weather
Service in Wilmington at 910-762-1374.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure wedges across the Carolinas today with a gradual
increase in NE winds. Winds continue to increase on Wednesday as
Hurricane Erin tracks northward between the US East Coast and
Bermuda, remaining breezy through Thursday. A cold front will
approach the area later this week bringing cooler temperatures.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight is Low.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of thunder...10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 6 to 7 mph shifting to the east
                    around 7 mph late in the afternoon.
Max mixing hgt......3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 12 to 14 mph.
Max vent rate.......Marginal (38230 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........3.
Max ADI.............47.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........28  24  20  17  13  13  12  12
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............80  82  84  87  87  87  87  86
RH..............85  80  77  69  68  68  68  70
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.9   10  11  12  12  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...2.2 2.8 2.9 3.3 3.2 3.0 2.7 2.3
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.12  12  12  12  12  13  13  14
Stability.......A   B   B   B   B   B   B   B
LVORI...........3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............33  40  41  46  45  47  43  40
Vrate mph-ft/1K.25  32  33  37  36  38  35  32
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
Sfc pres (in)...001 001 001 001 999 999 999 996

$$
Forecaster...Bacon
Requested by...Alan Matthews
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2520224.0/ILM
.DELDT 08/19/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL alan.matthews@ncagr.gov