Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
775
FNUS72 KILM 121215
FWSILM

Spot Forecast for 10H-2...NC Wildlife
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
815 AM EDT Wed Mar 12 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on March 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative...or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast...contact the National Weather
Service in Wilmington at 910-762-1374.

.DISCUSSION...
Warm and dry conditions will continue through the end of the week
under weak high pressure. A cold front is expected to cross the
region this weekend, bringing the next chance for rain.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight is None.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Max mixing hgt......3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 17 mph.
Max vent rate.......Fair (57103 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........4.
Max ADI.............70.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............50  59  66  71  74  77  77  77  75
RH..............82  66  52  45  38  34  31  33  33
20 FT wind dir..W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   3   3   5   5   6   6   7   7
20 FT wind gust.4   5   6   7   9   10  11  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 1.0 1.9 2.4 3.1 3.2 3.0 1.4
Transp wind dir.W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  S   SW  S
Transp wind spd.12  10  10  12  13  15  15  17  16
Stability.......B   B   B   B   B   B   B   B   C
LVORI...........4   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............12  11  14  29  40  62  65  70  34
Vrate mph-ft/1K.5   6   10  23  32  51  53  57  26
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  PR
Sfc pres (in)...991 991 996 996 996 990 990 990 987

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 49.
Max humidity........95 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Min mixing hgt......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 14 to 16 mph.
Min vent rate.......Poor (5800 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........5.
Min ADI.............6.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............71  65  60  58  57  55  55  54  53  52  51  51
RH..............41  52  62  68  74  78  80  82  85  87  89  90
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..6   6   5   5   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   2
20 FT wind gust.11  9   8   8   8   8   7   7   7   6   6   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.16  15  15  16  16  16  16  15  15  14  14  14
Stability.......E   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F
LVORI...........2   2   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   5   5   5
ADI.............11  7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6   6
Vrate mph-ft/1K.11  7   7   7   7   8   7   7   7   6   6   6
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
Sfc pres (in)...987 987 991 991 991 993 993 993 991 991 991 992

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph late
                    in the morning.
Max mixing hgt......5900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 17 mph.
Max vent rate.......Good (109199 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........5.
Max ADI.............119.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........11  19  19  19  19  19  24  28  33  39  46  52
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............50  50  50  56  62  68  72  75  76  76  75  73
RH..............90  91  95  83  70  58  51  45  41  42  43  45
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   3   5   6   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   6   7   8   9   11  12  13  13  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.9 2.0 3.5 4.7 5.9 4.9 3.9 2.9
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.13  13  13  12  12  13  15  16  17  17  17  17
Stability.......B   B   B   B   B   B   B   B   C   C   C   C
LVORI...........5   5   5   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............13  13  13  12  15  36  71  98  119 101 83  62
Vrate mph-ft/1K.5   5   5   6   11  28  58  85  109 90  72  53
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  GD  VGD GD  GD  FR
Sfc pres (in)...992 992 995 995 995 997 997 997 991 991 991 989

$$
Forecaster...Keebler
Requested by...Hagen Blake
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2506125.0/ILM
.DELDT 03/12/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL hagen.blake@ncwildlife.gov