349
FNUS72 KILM 261117
FWSILM

Spot Forecast for Shaken Creek Rx...TNC
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
717 AM EDT Thu Jun 26 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on June 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative...or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast...contact the National Weather
Service in Wilmington at 910-762-1374.

.DISCUSSION...
Hot weather will continue today, although temperatures will not
reach the extremes we saw over the past several days. Isolated
showers or thunderstorms may develop during the heat of the afternoon
but coverage is expected to only be around 20 percent. Light mainly
westerly wind will turn southerly with the arrival of the seabreeze
between 4-5 PM at Shaken Creek.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight is None.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
Max mixing hgt......4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 7 mph shifting to the south 8 to 12
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Max vent rate.......Poor (32770 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........5.
Max ADI.............42.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........15  14  13  12  18  24  29  29  29  28
Weather cov.....                            SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            SCH SCH SCH
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20
Temp............76  80  85  88  90  92  93  93  92  91
RH..............83  75  67  62  57  55  53  55  56  61
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  S   S
20 FT wind spd..1   1   2   2   3   3   3   5   7   7
20 FT wind gust.3   3   3   4   5   6   7   8   10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.3 2.1 2.7 3.2 3.7 4.1 3.9 3.0 2.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  S   S
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   7   6   7   8   8   8   12
Stability.......A   A   A   A   A   A   A   A   A   B
LVORI...........5   4   3   3   2   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............8   12  19  24  23  33  42  40  31  36
Vrate mph-ft/1K.7   9   14  19  18  26  33  32  24  29
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
Sfc pres (in)...000 000 000 002 002 002 999 999 999 994

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Chance of thunder...10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 73.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Min mixing hgt......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 13 to 14 mph.
Min vent rate.......Poor (5646 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........9.
Min ADI.............6.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........28  28  28  21  14  10  8   9   12  13  15  16
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  0
Temp............89  86  83  81  79  78  77  76  76  75  75  74
RH..............64  70  78  83  86  89  92  94  96  97  97  99
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..6   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.9   9   8   7   6   6   5   5   5   5   4   4
Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 1.0 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   SW  S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.13  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  13
Stability.......F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F
LVORI...........3   3   4   4   4   5   6   6   6   6   8   9
ADI.............6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Vrate mph-ft/1K.24  14  7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
Sfc pres (in)...994 994 997 997 997 001 001 001 002 002 002 999

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    late in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Max mixing hgt......4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 16 mph.
Max vent rate.......Fair (56148 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........7.
Max ADI.............66.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........13  9   7   10  12  14  19  24  29  23  18  16
Weather cov.....                                SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   20  20  20  20
Temp............74  75  78  82  85  89  90  91  91  91  90  89
RH..............100 99  90  79  71  64  61  60  60  60  61  63
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   3   3   3   5   6   6   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   6   6   7   8   10  11  12  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.5 2.1 3.0 3.9 4.5 4.7 4.8 4.3 3.8 3.3
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.12  12  13  10  8   8   8   10  12  13  15  16
Stability.......A   A   A   A   A   A   A   B   B   B   B   B
LVORI...........7   7   4   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............11  11  24  29  31  40  46  54  65  66  66  64
Vrate mph-ft/1K.5   6   19  22  24  32  37  46  56  56  55  52
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR
Sfc pres (in)...999 999 003 003 003 003 003 003 001 001 001 999

$$
Forecaster...Armstrong
Requested by...Zach West
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2516714.0/ILM
.DELDT 06/26/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL zwest@tnc.org