Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
131
FNUS72 KILM 090137
FWSILM
Spot Forecast for Moore Creek RX...National Park Service
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
937 PM EDT Tue Apr 8 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on April 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative...or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast...contact the National Weather
Service in Wilmington at 910-762-1374.
.DISCUSSION...
Cooler and even drier air will build in overnight.
A return of seasonable weather will take place during the
latter half of the week. Increased rain chances arrive on
Friday as a weak cold front pushes through. A shot of cooler
and drier air will arrive behind this front for
the weekend before temperatures moderate again early next week.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the east
around 5 mph late in the afternoon.
Max mixing hgt......5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 17 mph shifting to the east
around 10 mph late in the afternoon.
Max vent rate.......Good (58176 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........2.
Max ADI.............72.
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............42 47 52 56 59 62 63 65 65 65
RH..............65 56 48 42 34 32 30 30 32 34
20 FT wind dir..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E
20 FT wind spd..6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5
20 FT wind gust.9 10 10 11 10 9 8 8 8 7
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.9 2.5 3.4 3.9 4.7 5.1 5.6 5.6 5.5
Transp wind dir.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E
Transp wind spd.17 16 16 15 13 10 10 10 10 10
Stability.......A B B B B A A A A A
LVORI...........2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............27 39 51 62 59 61 66 72 72 70
Vrate mph-ft/1K.21 30 41 51 50 48 53 58 58 57
Ventrate Cat....PR PR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR
Sfc pres (in)...017 017 017 021 021 021 020 020 020 016
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 43.
Max humidity........98 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph becoming light.
Min mixing hgt......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 14 mph shifting to the northeast
early in the morning.
Min vent rate.......Poor (3867 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........6.
Min ADI.............4.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........0 0 1 2 3 3 6 8 10 11 12 13
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............63 60 56 53 51 50 49 48 47 46 46 45
RH..............39 48 61 67 73 78 81 83 86 88 90 91
20 FT wind dir..E E E E E E E NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT wind spd..5 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT wind gust.7 6 6 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3
Mix hgt (kft)...4.9 2.3 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.E E E E E E E E E E NE NE
Transp wind spd.12 14 13 12 12 10 10 12 12 10 10 9
Stability.......F F F F F F F F F F F F
LVORI...........2 2 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 6 6
ADI.............5 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.56 32 8 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 4 4
Ventrate Cat....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
Sfc pres (in)...016 016 019 019 019 021 021 021 018 018 018 015
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph late
in the morning.
Max mixing hgt......6100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 9 to 10 mph shifting to the southeast
13 to 16 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Max vent rate.......Good (91189 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........6.
Max ADI.............103.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........18 23 27 31 34 38 39 41 42 43 44 45
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............46 46 49 55 61 67 68 70 71 71 71 71
RH..............93 94 89 76 66 57 55 53 51 51 52 53
20 FT wind dir..NE NE NE E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..2 2 1 2 3 5 5 6 6 6 6 6
20 FT wind gust.3 3 3 4 5 7 8 10 11 11 11 11
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 2.0 3.5 5.0 5.4 5.7 6.1 5.9 5.7 5.5
Transp wind dir.NE NE E E SE SE SE S S S S S
Transp wind spd.9 9 9 10 13 14 14 15 15 15 16 16
Stability.......A A A A A A A B B B B B
LVORI...........6 6 5 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............9 9 9 26 57 87 92 96 101 98 103 100
Vrate mph-ft/1K.4 4 4 20 44 70 74 86 91 88 91 88
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR FR GD GD GD GD GD GD GD
Sfc pres (in)...015 015 017 017 017 014 014 014 007 007 007 002
$$
Forecaster...Keebler
Requested by...Tyler Brink
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2509305.0/ILM
.DELDT 04/09/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL tyler_brink@nps.gov,sean_weston@nps.gov