533
FNUS72 KILM 031026
FWSILM

Spot Forecast for McLean Rx...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
626 AM EDT Tue Jun 3 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on June 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative...or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast...contact the National Weather
Service in Wilmington at 910-762-1374.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will maintain dry weather today through Wednesday
morning. Variable to light northeasterly winds will veer southeasterly
by 10-11 AM EDT this morning, due to the seabreeze. Weak low
pressure will increase rain chances late Wednesday through Thursday
night, especially near the coast. Warmer and more humid weather
will accompany scattered showers and thunderstorms over the
weekend.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight is Low.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Max mixing hgt......3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 12 mph.
Max vent rate.......Marginal (41693 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........3.
Max ADI.............51.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........9   6   5   5   5   4   4   3   3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............72  76  79  80  81  81  81  80  80
RH..............78  67  58  56  55  53  54  55  57
20 FT wind dir..E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..3   5   5   6   6   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.5   6   7   9   10  11  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 2.8 3.7 3.8 3.9 3.9 3.6 3.3 3.1
Transp wind dir.E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   SE  SE
Transp wind spd.8   8   8   9   9   10  12  12  12
Stability.......A   A   A   A   B   B   B   B   B
LVORI...........3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............18  29  38  44  43  48  51  47  44
Vrate mph-ft/1K.14  22  30  35  36  40  42  38  36
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  PR  PR
Sfc pres (in)...017 017 019 019 019 016 016 016 016

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
Max humidity........98 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Min mixing hgt......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 15 mph.
Min vent rate.......Poor (3867 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........9.
Min ADI.............4.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........6   10  13  19  25  31  32  33  34  32  30  29
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............78  76  74  72  70  69  68  67  67  66  64  63
RH..............61  66  73  75  77  80  83  86  89  92  95  98
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..6   6   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.11  9   8   7   6   5   5   5   4   4   4   5
Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 1.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   SE  SE  SE  E
Transp wind spd.14  15  14  13  13  12  10  10  9   9   9   9
Stability.......F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F
LVORI...........3   3   3   4   4   4   4   5   6   6   7   9
ADI.............6   7   6   6   6   5   5   5   4   4   4   4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.33  21  7   6   6   5   5   5   4   4   4   4
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
Sfc pres (in)...016 016 019 019 019 020 020 020 019 019 019 017

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 8 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Max mixing hgt......4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 9 to 18 mph.
Max vent rate.......Good (71137 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........6.
Max ADI.............85.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........29  29  29  29  30  30  35  40  46  53  60  67
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............66  68  71  74  78  80  81  82  82  82  81  80
RH..............92  87  82  72  64  58  55  54  53  54  56  58
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   5   6   7   7   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.5   5   6   8   10  12  13  14  14  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 0.9 2.0 2.8 3.6 3.7 3.8 3.9 4.1 3.8 3.4
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.9   9   13  15  15  16  16  16  16  17  18  18
Stability.......A   A   A   A   B   B   B   B   B   B   B   C
LVORI...........6   5   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............9   9   14  39  52  71  72  74  75  85  81  63
Vrate mph-ft/1K.4   5   11  30  42  58  60  61  62  71  67  62
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD
Sfc pres (in)...017 017 022 022 022 024 024 024 022 022 022 017

$$
Forecaster...Boatman
Requested by...Nathan Burmester
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2515260.0/ILM
.DELDT 06/03/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nathan.burmester@tnc.org