472
FNUS72 KILM 040725
FWSILM

Spot Forecast for Sandy Island RX BU10...TNC
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
325 AM EDT Fri Apr 4 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on April 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative...or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast...contact the National Weather
Service in Wilmington at 910-762-1374.

.DISCUSSION...
Well-above normal temperatures and dewpoints are expected through
the weekend as high pressure ridges into the area from the east.
The next significant chance of rain will be Sunday night into
Monday night ahead of another cold front. Much cooler and drier
air will follow next Tuesday into midweek.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight is Low.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........72 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Max mixing hgt......3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 14 to 18 mph.
Max vent rate.......Good (66120 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........5.
Max ADI.............65.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........68  62  56  53  50  47  46  46  46
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............71  73  75  77  79  79  80  79  78
RH..............92  87  82  78  74  73  72  72  74
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   6   6   7   7   8   8   9   10
20 FT wind gust.9   9   11  12  13  14  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 1.1 1.8 2.5 3.1 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.17  16  14  14  14  14  16  17  18
Stability.......B   B   D   D   C   C   C   C   C
LVORI...........5   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.............20  23  25  30  45  49  57  61  65
Vrate mph-ft/1K.15  17  24  34  43  50  58  62  66
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  GD  GD
Sfc pres (in)...025 025 030 030 030 027 027 027 022

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Max humidity........99 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 8 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Min mixing hgt......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 13 to 18 mph.
Min vent rate.......Poor (7367 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........9.
Min ADI.............6.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........44  42  41  42  44  46  50  53  56  57  57  58
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............76  74  71  70  68  68  67  67  66  66  65  65
RH..............77  83  90  93  95  96  97  97  98  98  98  98
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..8   7   6   6   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   2
20 FT wind gust.14  12  10  9   8   8   7   7   7   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...2.7 1.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.18  17  17  16  16  15  15  14  14  14  13  14
Stability.......D   D   E   E   E   E   E   E   F   F   F   F
LVORI...........3   4   5   5   6   6   7   8   8   8   9   8
ADI.............25  19  12  11  11  10  10  9   6   6   6   6
Vrate mph-ft/1K.50  32  16  15  14  12  11  10  9   9   7   7
Ventrate Cat....FR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
Sfc pres (in)...022 022 024 024 024 025 025 025 021 021 021 020

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 12 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Max mixing hgt......3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 14 to 20 mph.
Max vent rate.......Good (60804 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........5.
Max ADI.............64.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........61     67     38     22     19     25
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............65     66     73     78     80     79
RH..............99     98     83     67     61     64
20 ft wind......S 2    S 3    S 6    S 8    S 10   S 10
20 ft wind gust.6      6      11     14     15     17
Mix hgt (ft)....500    700    1100   2200   3100   3100
Transport wind..SW 14  SW 14  S 17   S 17   SW 18  S 20
Stability.......B      B      B      C      C      C
LVORI...........5      5      3      1      1      1
ADI.............14     14     24     45     60     63
Vrate mph-ft/1K.7      9      18     38     57     60
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   FAIR   FAIR
Sfc pres (in)...30.20  30.23  30.23  30.25  30.18  30.18

$$
Forecaster...31
Requested by...Chelsea MacKenzie
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2508818.0/ILM
.DELDT 04/04/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL c.f.mackenzie@tnc.org