788
FNUS72 KILM 171846
FWSILM

Spot Forecast for Delta east...SCDNR
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
146 PM EST Sun Nov 17 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EST on November 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast...contact the National Weather
Service in Wilmington at 910-762-1374.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure overhead will move off the coast tomorrow, allowing
temperatures to warm significantly. A very light return flow out
of the S-SW will become more westerly into Monday. Clouds increase
through Tuesday with possible showers developing Tuesday night
into Wednesday ahead of a strong cold front.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is
Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight is Low.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Max mixing hgt......2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 9 to 12 mph.
Max vent rate.......Poor (26588 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........4.
Max ADI.............33.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (EST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........5   4   4   3   3   5   7   10  9
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............59  64  68  70  72  73  73  71  68
RH..............81  70  62  56  53  52  54  57  65
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2
20 FT wind gust.5   6   6   6   7   6   6   6   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 1.5 2.1 2.5 2.8 2.9 2.9 1.8 0.6
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW
Transp wind spd.10  12  10  9   9   9   9   9   9
Stability.......B   B   B   B   B   B   B   B   B
LVORI...........4   3   2   2   1   1   1   2   3
ADI.............11  23  28  29  32  33  33  21  10
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.7   18  22  23  26  27  27  17  6
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
Sfc pres (in)...007 006 006 006 000 000 000 997 997

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Min mixing hgt......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 9 mph.
Min vent rate.......Poor (3235 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........9.
Min ADI.............4.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........8   9   13  26  40  23  33  42  46  51  55  54
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............64  61  59  58  57  56  55  54  54  54  53  52
RH..............75  88  91  93  96  96  98  97  98  98  99  100
20 FT wind dir..SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.5   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  W   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.9   8   8   8   9   8   8   8   8   9   9   9
Stability.......F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F
LVORI...........3   6   6   6   7   8   9   8   9   9   9   9
ADI.............4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.4   4   4   3   4   4   3   3   3   4   4   3
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
Sfc pres (in)...997 000 000 000 000 000 000 998 998 998 999 999

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Max mixing hgt......3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 14 mph.
Max vent rate.......Fair (47118 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........8.
Max ADI.............58.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........54  53  55  57  59  63  66  70  75  79  84  86
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............52  52  57  61  66  68  70  73  72  71  71  68
RH..............100 99  90  82  76  71  66  62  65  69  72  79
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   1   1   2   2   3   3   3   3   2
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   6   6   7   7   8   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.5 2.1 2.8 3.4 2.9 2.4 1.8 1.4
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.8   8   9   9   10  12  13  14  13  13  12  10
Stability.......A   A   A   A   B   B   B   B   B   B   B   B
LVORI...........8   8   5   4   3   3   1   1   1   3   3   3
ADI.............8   8   9   13  20  31  44  58  47  37  27  18
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.3   3   6   10  15  24  35  47  38  29  21  14
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  PR  PR  PR  PR
Sfc pres (in)...999 002 002 002 002 002 002 996 996 996 991 991

$$
Forecaster...Zouzias
Requested by...Ovidiu Caradinta
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2426745.0/ILM
.DELDT 11/17/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL caradintao@dnr.sc.gov