364
FNUS72 KILM 250916
FWSILM

Spot Forecast for RMS Hardee RxB...NCFS
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
516 AM EDT Thu Jun 25 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on June 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast...contact the National Weather
Service in Wilmington at 910-762-1374.

.DISCUSSION...
Dry weather is expected today and tonight as weak high pressure
builds across the area. Very light surface winds and transport winds
mainly from the east and southeast are expected until the seabreeze
front arrives around 5 PM. Seabreeze winds will turn southerly and
increase to 5-10 mph until sunset. Hotter temperatures and a slight
chance of thunderstorms are expected Friday.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight is Low.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
Max mixing hgt......6900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 7 mph in the morning becoming light,
                    then becoming south 5 to 9 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Max vent rate.......Good (57991 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........7.
Max ADI.............70.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........15  18  18  23  28  33  41  37  62  56  57  35
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............66  68  72  78  83  86  88  90  91  91  91  90
RH..............100 100 92  72  58  49  44  42  40  40  45  47
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   E   E   SE  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..0   0   0   0   1   1   1   1   1   2   3   7
20 FT wind gust.    1   1   1       2   2   2   2   3   4   10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.9 2.4 4.2 5.8 6.6 6.6 6.9 6.7 6.8 6.3
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   SE  S   S   SW  SE  SW  S
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   7   6   5   3   5   5   6   7   9
Stability.......A   A   A   A   A   A   A   A   B   B   C   A
LVORI...........7   6   4   3   1   1   2   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............6   6   7   22  30  33  27  37  34  42  32  70
Vrate mph-ft/1K.2   2   5   17  24  27  23  30  32  39  47  58
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR
Sfc pres (in)...998 998 002 002 002 003 003 003 002 002 002 998

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Min mixing hgt......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 13 mph.
Min vent rate.......Poor (3440 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........8.
Min ADI.............4.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........47  43  36  37  35  18  40  26  16  33  25  36
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............89  86  83  80  77  76  75  75  74  74  73  73
RH..............50  54  61  73  80  86  88  90  93  94  95  96
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..6   5   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   0   0   0
20 FT wind gust.8   7   6   4   3   2   2   2       1
Mix hgt (kft)...4.7 2.9 1.6 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.10  12  13  10  9   9   9   9   9   8   8   8
Stability.......E   E   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F
LVORI...........2   3   3   3   4   5   5   6   6   6   8   8
ADI.............7   8   6   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.48  34  20  7   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   3
Ventrate Cat....FR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
Sfc pres (in)...998 998 001 001 001 004 004 004 004 004 004 004

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of thunder...20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 95.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 8 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Max mixing hgt......5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 16 mph.
Max vent rate.......Good (68421 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........6.
Max ADI.............78.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........42  50  42  13  9   10  3   2   7   25  35  28
Weather cov.....                                    SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                                    RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                    SCH SCH SCH
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  20  10
Temp............73  74  77  81  85  90  92  94  94  93  92  91
RH..............97  94  86  73  60  50  45  41  41  42  45  48
20 FT wind dir..N   N   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..0   0   1   1   2   2   3   5   6   7   7   8
20 FT wind gust.    1       2   3   4   5   6   9   11  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 1.1 1.8 2.6 3.7 4.6 5.4 5.4 4.0 3.3 3.3
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   7   9   8   7   7   9   10  13  13  14  16
Stability.......A   A   A   A   A   A   A   A   B   B   B   B
LVORI...........6   6   4   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............8   7   13  18  24  33  53  69  78  60  56  66
Vrate mph-ft/1K.4   4   10  14  18  26  43  56  68  51  46  54
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  GD  FR  FR  FR
Sfc pres (in)...004 004 009 009 009 011 011 011 006 006 006 003

$$
Forecaster...Armstrong
Requested by...Michael Rhodes
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2616146.0/ILM
.DELDT 06/25/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL michael.rhodes@ncagr.gov,shane.hardee@ncagr.gov