Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
494
FNUS72 KILM 271515
FWSILM
Spot Forecast for MOTSU B-16...DoD Army
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
1015 AM EST Tue Jan 27 2026
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EST on January 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative...or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast...contact the National Weather
Service in Wilmington at 910-762-1374.
.DISCUSSION...Cold and dry conditions expected through Friday as a
series of weak cold fronts bring Arctic air to the area with below
normal temps. Minimum relative humidity values likely linger
between 25-30% this afternoon. A storm system could bring snow
this weekend.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 46.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the west
around 5 mph late in the afternoon, then
becoming light late in the afternoon.
Max mixing hgt......3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 12 to 14 mph shifting to the west 9 to 10
mph in the afternoon.
Max vent rate.......Marginal (35359 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........2.
Max ADI.............43.
TIME (EST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........45 39 32 25 18 14 11 7 6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............32 37 41 43 45 45 45 43 41
RH..............61 51 44 39 37 37 40 44 50
20 FT wind dir..N N N N N NW W SW W
20 FT wind spd..5 6 6 5 5 5 5 3 3
20 FT wind gust.9 9 9 8 7 6 6 6 6
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 1.9 2.2 2.7 2.9 3.4 3.1 2.7 1.9
Transp wind dir.N N N NW NW W W W W
Transp wind spd.14 13 12 12 9 10 10 9 9
Stability.......B B B B B B B B B
LVORI...........2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2
ADI.............30 31 33 39 34 43 37 31 23
Vrate mph-ft/1K.23 24 26 31 27 35 30 25 18
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
Sfc pres (in)...024 028 028 028 020 020 020 014 014
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 27.
Max humidity........78 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest 5 to 6 mph
overnight.
Min mixing hgt......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 9 mph early in the evening.
Min vent rate.......Poor (3867 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........3.
Min ADI.............4.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............38 36 34 34 33 33 32 32 31 30 29 28
RH..............57 64 69 72 74 75 76 76 77 78 78 77
20 FT wind dir..W W W W W W W W W NW NW NW
20 FT wind spd..2 2 2 2 3 3 5 5 5 5 6 6
20 FT wind gust.5 5 5 5 6 7 8 9 10 10 11 11
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 0.4 M M M M M M M M M M
Transp wind dir.W W M M M M M M M M M M
Transp wind spd.9 9 M M M M M M M M M M
Stability.......F F
LVORI...........3 3 M M M M M M M M M M
ADI.............4 4 M M M M M M M M M M
Vrate mph-ft/1K.11 4 M M M M M M M M M M
Ventrate Cat....PR PR M M M M M M M M M M
Sfc pres (in)...014 015 015 015
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 44.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 7 mph becoming light.
Max mixing hgt......MISSING.
Transport winds.....
Max vent rate.......MISSING.
Max LVORI...........MISSING.
Max ADI.............MISSING.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........3 2 7 13 18 25 31 38 44 50 56 62
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............27 27 29 32 35 38 40 42 43 43 42 40
RH..............74 69 62 54 47 41 38 35 34 34 36 40
20 FT wind dir..N N N N N N N N N NW NW N
20 FT wind spd..6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 5 3
20 FT wind gust.11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 10 9 8 7
Mix hgt (kft)...M M M M M M M M M M M M
Transp wind dir.M M M M M M M M M M M M
Transp wind spd.M M M M M M M M M M M M
Stability.......
LVORI...........M M M M M M M M M M M M
ADI.............M M M M M M M M M M M M
Vrate mph-ft/1K.M M M M M M M M M M M M
Ventrate Cat....M M M M M M M M M M M M
Sfc pres (in)...
$$
Forecaster...Boatman
Requested by...KCrawford
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2601128.0/ILM
.DELDT 01/27/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL trent.k.crawford.civ@army.mil