821
FNUS72 KILM 041008
FWSILM

Spot Forecast for Carolina Beach SP Rx...North Carolina State Parks
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
608 AM EDT Mon Aug 4 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on August 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative...or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast...contact the National Weather
Service in Wilmington at 910-762-1374.

.DISCUSSION...
Cooler and somewhat drier conditions are expected to continue
through today. The remainder of the week will feature a gradual
return to typical summertime conditions.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight is Low.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers late in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 8 to 9 mph.
Max mixing hgt......3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 14 to 17 mph shifting to the east
                    around 15 mph late in the afternoon.
Max vent rate.......Fair (44762 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........4.
Max ADI.............55.

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........39  39  40  40  41  41  42  42  46  49  53
Weather cov.....                                    SCH SCH
Weather type....                                    RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).10  0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............70  72  74  77  79  80  82  83  83  83  84
RH..............85  82  80  75  73  69  66  65  66  67  64
20 FT wind dir..N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   9   9   9   9   9   9   8   8
20 FT wind gust.14  14  14  14  13  13  13  13  13  13  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 1.2 1.4 1.7 2.0 2.3 2.6 2.8 2.9 3.0 2.8
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E
Transp wind spd.14  17  17  16  16  15  15  16  15  15  15
Stability.......B   B   B   B   B   B   B   B   B   C   B
LVORI...........4   3   3   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............14  26  31  36  42  43  49  55  54  48  53
Vrate mph-ft/1K.10  20  24  28  33  34  39  44  43  45  42
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  FR
Sfc pres (in)...004 006 006 006 009 009 009 007 007 007 008

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers through the night. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms late in the evening.
Chance of thunder...20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    evening.
Min mixing hgt......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 14 to 17 mph.
Min vent rate.......Poor (8458 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........5.
Min ADI.............7.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........57  60  64  60  55  51  46  42  38  43  45  48
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
Temp............82  82  80  78  78  78  78  78  76  76  76  74
RH..............68  69  73  78  78  79  80  80  85  85  85  88
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..8   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.12  11  11  11  10  10  11  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...2.9 2.7 2.1 1.3 1.0 0.6 0.5 0.6 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE
Transp wind spd.14  15  16  16  16  17  16  15  15  15  15  15
Stability.......D   D   E   E   E   E   E   E   F   E   E   E
LVORI...........3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5
ADI.............19  20  11  11  11  12  11  10  7   10  10  10
Vrate mph-ft/1K.40  40  33  21  16  10  8   9   17  17  15  14
Ventrate Cat....FR  FR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
Sfc pres (in)...008 008 008 008 008 011 011 011 011 011 011 011

$$
Forecaster...Keebler
Requested by...Jesse Anderson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2519197.0/ILM
.DELDT 08/04/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jesse.anderson@ncparks.gov