Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
293
FNUS52 KILM 111257
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
857 AM EDT Tue Mar 11 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Low pressure will shift increasingly offshore today with gusty
winds subsiding this morning. Note that the coastal counties of
Cape Fear may observe a burst of gusty winds in the 25-30 kt
range within the first few hours of sunrise as remnant strong low-
level winds are mixed down, but these gusts will gradually
subside from late morning through this afternoon. Warm and dry
conditions will continue through the end of the week under weak
high pressure. Another storm system is expected to affect the
region this upcoming weekend.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-120500-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
857 AM EDT Tue Mar 11 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 73 41 77
Min/Max RH (%) 29 97 32
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) N 10 G23 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NW 8 G19 Lgt/Var SW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 54/1000 1800 64/1100
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3600 4200
Transport Wind (mph) N 17 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 61200 58800
ADI Early 51 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 13 Gen Poor
ADI Late 67 Good 6 Very Poor 61 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 3 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C F B
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 88 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
39 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum
RH 94 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
61 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 90 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent. South
winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
lower 50s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent.
South winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 40 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-120500-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
857 AM EDT Tue Mar 11 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 73 42 77
Min/Max RH (%) 30 96 31
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) N 8 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NW 6 Lgt/Var SW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 53/1000 1900 63/1100
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3500 4500
Transport Wind (mph) NW 14 SW 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 49000 81000
ADI Early 41 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 13 Gen Poor
ADI Late 60 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 83 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 3 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C F B
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
86 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
32 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum
RH 91 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 52 percent.
South winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 90 percent. South winds
around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. South
winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Cooler.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 85 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
32 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-120500-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
857 AM EDT Tue Mar 11 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 73 43 77
Min/Max RH (%) 31 96 30
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NW 8 G21 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NW 7 G17 Lgt/Var SW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 53/1000 1900 64/1100
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3500 4500
Transport Wind (mph) NW 15 SW 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 52500 76500
ADI Early 41 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 16 Gen Poor
ADI Late 60 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 66 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 3 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 87 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
37 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
90 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
60 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 91 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. South
winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Cooler. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 89 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 35 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-120500-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
857 AM EDT Tue Mar 11 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 73 41 77
Min/Max RH (%) 29 98 30
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NW 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NW 5 Lgt/Var SW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 52/1000 1900 62/1100
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3500 4600
Transport Wind (mph) NW 13 SW 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 45500 82800
ADI Early 29 Fair 6 Very Poor 16 Gen Poor
ADI Late 54 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 90 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 3 6
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
32 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum
RH 93 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 91 percent. South winds
around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. South
winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Cooler. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 85 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 29 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...Boatman