Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
689
FNUS52 KILM 050537
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
137 AM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025
.DISCUSSION...
A few showers may move onshore today, but overall the weather is
expected to remain dry into the upcoming week. A warming trend is
expected through midweek, then a cold front should bring cooler
temperatures during the latter half of the work week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-051845-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
137 AM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 20
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 82 63 83
Min/Max RH (%) 54 97 55
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) E 5 E 5 NE 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) E 8 NE 4 E 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/1000 1900 71/0900
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5000 4400
Transport Wind (mph) E 15 E 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 75000 66000
ADI Early 45 Gen Good 11 Poor 59 Gen Good
ADI Late 46 Gen Good 8 Poor 64 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 6 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
64 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
72 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 88 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
70 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
98 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
62 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-051845-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
137 AM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 83 61 85
Min/Max RH (%) 49 98 48
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 4 E 4 NE 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) E 6 Lgt/Var E 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 72/1000 1900 69/0900
Dispersion Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5400 4800
Transport Wind (mph) E 14 E 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 75600 57600
ADI Early 35 Fair 8 Poor 44 Gen Good
ADI Late 53 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 63 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 5
Max LVORI Late 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Cooler. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum
RH 67 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 86 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
64 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-051845-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
137 AM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 20
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 82 65 83
Min/Max RH (%) 57 99 59
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) E 5 E 6 G18 NE 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) E 8 G18 NE 4 E 7 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/1000 1900 72/0900
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 4800
Transport Wind (mph) E 17 E 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 83300 72000
ADI Early 47 Gen Good 17 Gen Poor 53 Gen Good
ADI Late 52 Gen Good 9 Poor 62 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 5
Max LVORI Late 2 7 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability D E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
65 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
76 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 88 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
71 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
99 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
63 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-051845-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
137 AM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 83 62 84
Min/Max RH (%) 50 98 50
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 4 E 5 NE 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) E 7 Lgt/Var E 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 72/1000 1900 71/1000
Dispersion Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5500 4700
Transport Wind (mph) E 15 E 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 82500 61100
ADI Early 39 Fair 14 Gen Poor 46 Gen Good
ADI Late 54 Gen Good 8 Poor 67 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability D E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Cooler. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 69 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 86 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
64 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...29