Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
394
FNUS52 KILM 131934
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
334 PM EDT Tue May 13 2025
.DISCUSSION...
A slow moving upper low will continue to lift northward through
midweek, with shower and storm chances continuing through Thursday.
Rainfall could be moderate to occasionally heavy rainfall at
times. Mostly dry conditions will build in for late week with
warming expected into the weekend.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-141145-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
334 PM EDT Tue May 13 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 50 40 40
Chance Thunder (%) 0 20 20 20
Min/Max Temp 64 83 65 87
Max/Min RH (%) 96 66 100 56
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 5 Lgt/Var S 5 SW 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 S 6 SW 4 SW 7 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.27 0.10 0.04
Precip Duration 2 2 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 71/0900 1900 73/0900
Dispersion Fair Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3900 5800
Transport Wind (mph) S 15 SW 21
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 58500 121800
ADI Early 9 Poor 40 Fair 15 Gen Poor 67 Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 49 Gen Good 8 Poor 111 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 6 6
Max LVORI Late 6 3 8 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability F B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 90 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-141145-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
334 PM EDT Tue May 13 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 40 70 60 30
Chance Thunder (%) 20 50 50 20
Min/Max Temp 63 83 64 88
Max/Min RH (%) 97 64 100 49
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var S 4 SW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 6 SW 4 SW 6
Precip Amount 0.05 0.20 0.15 0.03
Precip Duration 1 4 4 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 71/0900 1900 71/0900
Dispersion Poor Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 5300
Transport Wind (mph) SW 14 SW 21
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 58800 111300
ADI Early 9 Poor 39 Fair 9 Poor 66 Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 52 Gen Good 8 Poor 119 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 6 7 6 7
Max LVORI Late 6 2 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability F B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
45 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-141145-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
334 PM EDT Tue May 13 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 60 40 40
Chance Thunder (%) 20 50 20 20
Min/Max Temp 64 84 65 89
Max/Min RH (%) 98 61 100 49
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 5 Lgt/Var S 5 SW 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 SW 6 SW 4 SW 7 G18
Precip Amount 0.04 0.19 0.14 0.02
Precip Duration 1 2 2 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 70/0800 1900 74/0900
Dispersion Fair Fair
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4700 6000
Transport Wind (mph) SW 13 SW 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 61100 120000
ADI Early 11 Poor 39 Fair 12 Poor 65 Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 46 Gen Good 8 Poor 124 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 6 6
Max LVORI Late 6 3 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability F B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 91 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-141145-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
334 PM EDT Tue May 13 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 60 50 30
Chance Thunder (%) 20 50 20 20
Min/Max Temp 63 84 64 89
Max/Min RH (%) 97 59 100 44
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var S 4 SW 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 6 S 4 SW 7
Precip Amount 0.03 0.09 0.15 0.05
Precip Duration 1 3 2 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 71/0900 2000 72/0900
Dispersion Poor Fair
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5300 5800
Transport Wind (mph) SW 15 SW 21
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 79500 121800
ADI Early 7 Poor 40 Fair 10 Poor 59 Gen Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 61 Good 8 Poor 130 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 7 6 6
Max LVORI Late 6 1 8 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability F C E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
47 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 51 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...LEW