Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
146
FNUS52 KILM 130604
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
204 AM EDT Wed Aug 13 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Near normal temperatures and typical afternoon thunderstorm
chances return over the next several days. A cold front may reach
the Carolinas late this week and possibly push east and south of
the area before stalling later this upcoming weekend.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-131915-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
204 AM EDT Wed Aug 13 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 40 30 70
Chance Thunder (%) 40 30 70
Max/Min Temp 90 73 91
Min/Max RH (%) 61 100 71
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SW 4 SW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 Lgt/Var SW 5
Precip Amount 0.10 0.09 0.20
Precip Duration 2 1 4
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/0900 2000 80/0900
Dispersion Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3400 3600
Transport Wind (mph) SW 13 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 44200 50400
ADI Early 32 Fair 8 Poor 37 Fair
ADI Late 43 Gen Good 8 Poor 48 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 6 5
Max LVORI Late 3 6 3
Min VSBY Early 4 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 62 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-131915-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
204 AM EDT Wed Aug 13 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 50 30 70
Chance Thunder (%) 50 30 70
Max/Min Temp 90 73 89
Min/Max RH (%) 63 100 71
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 4
Precip Amount 0.13 0.20 0.18
Precip Duration 1 1 4
Precip Begin 8 AM Continuing 7 AM
Precip End Continuing 4 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0900 2000 78/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3400 3700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 13 SW 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 44200 48100
ADI Early 29 Fair 7 Poor 39 Fair
ADI Late 51 Gen Good 7 Poor 46 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 7 5 6
Max LVORI Late 3 6 3
Min VSBY Early 3 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
65 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-131915-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
204 AM EDT Wed Aug 13 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 40 30 70
Chance Thunder (%) 40 30 70
Max/Min Temp 91 75 91
Min/Max RH (%) 63 100 70
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 Lgt/Var SW 5
Precip Amount 0.18 0.11 0.13
Precip Duration 1 1 4
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/0900 2000 79/0900
Dispersion Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3700 3700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 12 SW 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 44400 48100
ADI Early 31 Fair 8 Poor 35 Fair
ADI Late 45 Gen Good 7 Poor 45 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 7 5 6
Max LVORI Late 3 6 3
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
64 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-131915-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
204 AM EDT Wed Aug 13 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 40 40 70
Chance Thunder (%) 40 40 50
Max/Min Temp 91 74 90
Min/Max RH (%) 59 100 69
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 4
Precip Amount 0.06 0.05 0.14
Precip Duration 1 2 4
Precip Begin 9 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/0900 2000 77/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 3800
Transport Wind (mph) W 13 SW 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 54600 49400
ADI Early 33 Fair 7 Poor 37 Fair
ADI Late 57 Gen Good 7 Poor 46 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 7 5 6
Max LVORI Late 3 6 3
Min VSBY Early 2 Rain 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 60 percent. Light
winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
68 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$