Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
912
FNUS52 KILM 121803
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
203 PM EDT Tue Aug 12 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Near normal temperatures and typical afternoon thunderstorm
chances return over the next several days. Cold front may reach
the Carolinas late this week and possibly pushing east and south
of the area before stalling later this upcoming weekend.
Fog potential for tonight is High.
NCZ105>110-130715-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
203 PM EDT Tue Aug 12 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 40 40 60
Chance Thunder (%) 0 40 40 60
Min/Max Temp 73 89 74 90
Max/Min RH (%) 98 64 97 71
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var W 4 SW 5 SW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 6 SW 4 SW 6
Precip Amount 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.15
Precip Duration 0 2 1 4
Precip Begin 6 PM 7 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End 3 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 79/0900 2000 79/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4300 3700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 13 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 55900 51800
ADI Early 8 Poor 37 Fair 11 Poor 57 Gen Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 49 Gen Good 11 Poor 53 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 6 5 5
Max LVORI Late 8 3 6 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
64 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 63 percent. Light
winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 65 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-130715-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
203 PM EDT Tue Aug 12 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 40 40 60
Chance Thunder (%) 0 40 40 50
Min/Max Temp 72 90 74 89
Max/Min RH (%) 100 66 97 71
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.02 0.09 0.13 0.32
Precip Duration 1 1 1 4
Precip Begin 6 PM 7 AM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End 9 PM Continuing 2 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 78/0900 1900 78/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 3800
Transport Wind (mph) SW 14 W 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 58800 45600
ADI Early 6 Very Poor 32 Fair 8 Poor 45 Gen Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 58 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 50 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 8 6 5
Max LVORI Late 9 3 6 3
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 70 percent. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 61 percent. Light
winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
63 percent. Light winds.
$$
NCZ087-130715-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
203 PM EDT Tue Aug 12 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 40 40 60
Chance Thunder (%) 0 40 40 50
Min/Max Temp 73 89 74 88
Max/Min RH (%) 99 67 97 70
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SW 4 SW 4 SW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 6 Lgt/Var SW 6
Precip Amount 0.02 0.06 0.13 0.50
Precip Duration 1 2 2 4
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 78/0900 1900 78/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4000 3900
Transport Wind (mph) SW 15 W 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 60000 54600
ADI Early 6 Very Poor 31 Fair 15 Gen Poor 36 Fair
ADI Late 8 Poor 56 Gen Good 8 Poor 49 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 6 6 5
Max LVORI Late 9 3 6 3
Min VSBY Early 7 5 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F C E B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
63 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-130715-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
203 PM EDT Tue Aug 12 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 30 60
Chance Thunder (%) 0 30 30 50
Min/Max Temp 74 91 75 91
Max/Min RH (%) 99 64 96 66
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4 SW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 5 Lgt/Var SW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.06 0.03 0.13
Precip Duration 1 1 4
Precip Begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 79/0900 2000 80/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4100 5200
Transport Wind (mph) SW 13 SW 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 53300 67600
ADI Early 7 Poor 33 Fair 9 Poor 47 Gen Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 46 Gen Good 8 Poor 50 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 7 5 5
Max LVORI Late 9 3 6 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
67 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 66 percent. Light
winds.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-130715-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
203 PM EDT Tue Aug 12 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 50 40 40 60
Chance Thunder (%) 20 40 40 50
Min/Max Temp 73 90 74 90
Max/Min RH (%) 100 62 98 65
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 4 Lgt/Var SW 4
Precip Amount 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.17
Precip Duration 1 1 1 4
Precip Begin 6 PM 10 AM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End 9 PM Continuing 2 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 78/0900 1900 78/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4400 4800
Transport Wind (mph) SW 14 SW 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 61600 62400
ADI Early 6 Very Poor 31 Fair 8 Poor 49 Gen Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 53 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 62 Good
Max LVORI Early 7 8 5 5
Max LVORI Late 9 3 7 3
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 4 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 68 percent. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
63 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 61 percent. Light
winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Light winds.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-130715-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
203 PM EDT Tue Aug 12 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 50 40 40 60
Chance Thunder (%) 20 40 40 50
Min/Max Temp 72 89 73 87
Max/Min RH (%) 99 64 99 72
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 5 Lgt/Var SW 5
Precip Amount 0.08 0.06 0.08 0.40
Precip Duration 1 2 2 4
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 78/1000 1900 78/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4300 4600
Transport Wind (mph) SW 15 SW 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 64500 59800
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 30 Fair 8 Poor 32 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 57 Gen Good 7 Poor 52 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 7 6 5
Max LVORI Late 8 3 8 3
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 1 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 2 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability F C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
63 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 60 percent. Light
winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 62 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...21