Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
568
FNUS52 KILM 221832
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
232 PM EDT Thu May 22 2025
.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will move through the area tonight. Dry high
pressure will follow Fri thru early Sun resulting in fairly low
minimum humidity values in the afternoon Friday and Saturday. The
next storm system will impact the area late Sun into next week.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-231045-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
232 PM EDT Thu May 22 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 57 80 54 81
Max/Min RH (%) 69 34 67 32
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) W 6 G18 NW 5 NW 5 N 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NW 4 W 9 N 4 W 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 63/0800 2000 61/0700
Dispersion Fair Fair
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6900 5700
Transport Wind (mph) W 25 W 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 172500 74100
ADI Early 16 Gen Poor 112 Very Good15 Gen Poor 49 Gen Good
ADI Late 7 Poor 139 Very Good6 Very Poor 90 Good
Max LVORI Early 3 3 3 2
Max LVORI Late 3 1 3 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F A
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 83 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 74 percent. West winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-231045-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
232 PM EDT Thu May 22 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 58 80 55 81
Max/Min RH (%) 67 32 64 28
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) W 6 G19 W 5 NW 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NW 4 W 10 G18 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 63/0800 2000 60/0800
Dispersion Fair Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6900 5300
Transport Wind (mph) W 25 W 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 172500 63600
ADI Early 16 Gen Poor 112 Very Good14 Gen Poor 41 Gen Good
ADI Late 7 Poor 136 Very Good5 Very Poor 90 Good
Max LVORI Early 2 3 3 2
Max LVORI Late 3 1 3 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F A
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
81 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Light
winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance
of precipitation 60 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-231045-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
232 PM EDT Thu May 22 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 59 82 56 82
Max/Min RH (%) 67 36 69 34
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) W 7 NW 4 W 4 NE 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NW 4 W 8 N 4 Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 65/0800 2000 62/0600
Dispersion Fair Fair
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6700 5300
Transport Wind (mph) W 23 W 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 154100 63600
ADI Early 17 Gen Poor 81 Good 14 Gen Poor 39 Fair
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 143 Very Good7 Poor 69 Good
Max LVORI Early 3 3 3 2
Max LVORI Late 3 1 3 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 88 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-231045-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
232 PM EDT Thu May 22 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 57 82 54 82
Max/Min RH (%) 66 34 66 31
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) W 7 G18 NW 4 NW 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NW 4 W 9 N 4 Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 64/0800 2000 60/0700
Dispersion Fair Fair
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6800 5100
Transport Wind (mph) W 24 W 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 163200 51000
ADI Early 36 Fair 94 Good 14 Gen Poor 39 Fair
ADI Late 7 Poor 144 Very Good6 Very Poor 77 Good
Max LVORI Early 2 3 3 2
Max LVORI Late 3 1 3 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 86 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$