Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
489
FNUS52 KILM 051839
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
239 PM EDT Thu Jun 5 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Low pressure will lift north of the area tonight. After a one
day break in thunderstorm activity Friday, the weather will turn
quite unsettled for the next several days as a series of upper
level disturbances cross the area during hot and humid
conditions.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-061045-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
239 PM EDT Thu Jun 5 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 60 0 0 50
Chance Thunder (%) 50 0 0 50
Min/Max Temp 69 88 70 93
Max/Min RH (%) 98 56 98 54
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 5 NW 5 SW 4 SW 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 W 5 SW 4 SW 7 G17
Precip Amount 0.34 0.00 0.00 0.08
Precip Duration 3 1
Precip Begin 6 PM 2 PM
Precip End 6 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 72/0700 2000 79/0900
Dispersion Fair Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 5300
Transport Wind (mph) W 14 SW 22
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 63000 116600
ADI Early 10 Poor 38 Fair 6 Very Poor 70 Good
ADI Late 10 Poor 70 Good 8 Poor 107 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 6 7 6 5
Max LVORI Late 6 3 7 1
Min VSBY Early 4 Rain 4 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 3 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability E C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-061045-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
239 PM EDT Thu Jun 5 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 50 0 0 50
Chance Thunder (%) 50 0 0 50
Min/Max Temp 68 89 71 93
Max/Min RH (%) 99 51 98 52
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var NW 4 Lgt/Var SW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var W 5 SW 4 SW 6
Precip Amount 0.36 0.00 0.00 0.04
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 PM 2 PM
Precip End 5 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 70/0600 2000 76/0800
Dispersion Poor Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5000 5600
Transport Wind (mph) W 13 W 24
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 65000 134400
ADI Early 6 Very Poor 38 Fair 6 Very Poor 72 Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 72 Good 9 Poor 141 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 8 8 5 5
Max LVORI Late 9 2 7 1
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 4 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 3 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely and a chance
of showers. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Light winds.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-061045-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
239 PM EDT Thu Jun 5 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 60 0 0 40
Chance Thunder (%) 50 0 0 40
Min/Max Temp 69 89 72 93
Max/Min RH (%) 98 51 96 51
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 NW 5 SW 4 SW 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) W 4 W 5 SW 4 SW 7
Precip Amount 0.34 0.00 0.00 0.02
Precip Duration 3 1
Precip Begin 6 PM 2 PM
Precip End 6 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 72/0600 2000 77/0800
Dispersion Fair Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5200 6200
Transport Wind (mph) W 12 W 23
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 62400 142600
ADI Early 11 Poor 51 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 83 Good
ADI Late 9 Poor 64 Good 8 Poor 148 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 6 7 5 5
Max LVORI Late 6 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 5 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 5 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability E B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-061045-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
239 PM EDT Thu Jun 5 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 60 0 0 40
Chance Thunder (%) 50 0 0 40
Min/Max Temp 68 90 71 94
Max/Min RH (%) 98 49 96 49
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var NW 4 SW 4 SW 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var W 5 SW 4 W 7
Precip Amount 0.26 0.00 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 3 1
Precip Begin 6 PM 2 PM
Precip End 3 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 75/0900 2000 76/0800
Dispersion Poor Fair
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5400 6400
Transport Wind (mph) W 12 W 25
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 64800 160000
ADI Early 7 Poor 43 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 87 Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 71 Good 9 Poor 169 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 7 8 4 5
Max LVORI Late 8 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 3 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 3 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability E B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...VAO