Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
440
FNUS52 KILM 231802
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
202 PM EDT Sat Aug 23 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Weak low pressure will develop tonight along a stalled front
offshore, leading to increased shower chances near the coast
through Sunday. Drier and cooler weather will arrive behind
another cold front Monday.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-240715-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
202 PM EDT Sat Aug 23 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 50 40 20 20
Chance Thunder (%) 20 40 20 20
Min/Max Temp 69 86 70 90
Max/Min RH (%) 97 70 96 57
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var N 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var N 4 Lgt/Var W 4
Precip Amount 0.37 0.20 0.02 0.00
Precip Duration 2 2 0 0
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing Continuing 8 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 73/0900 1900 76/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 6700
Transport Wind (mph) N 9 W 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 37800 87100
ADI Early 8 Poor 37 Fair 4 Very Poor 49 Gen Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 50 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 92 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 6 6
Max LVORI Late 6 4 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 5 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability F C F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 83 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-240715-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
202 PM EDT Sat Aug 23 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Showers Tstms None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 20 0 10
Chance Thunder (%) 0 20 0 10
Min/Max Temp 69 86 69 89
Max/Min RH (%) 96 58 95 52
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.03 0.02 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1 1 0
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 6 PM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 73/0900 1900 75/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4800 6300
Transport Wind (mph) N 8 W 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 38400 63000
ADI Early 6 Very Poor 37 Fair 4 Very Poor 50 Gen Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 48 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 76 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 5 6
Max LVORI Late 6 3 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
77 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
47 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
76 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
87 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 86 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-240715-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
202 PM EDT Sat Aug 23 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 40 30 20 20
Chance Thunder (%) 20 30 20 20
Min/Max Temp 69 85 70 89
Max/Min RH (%) 98 65 97 58
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var N 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var N 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.13 0.03 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 2 2 0 0
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing Continuing 8 PM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 75/0900 2000 76/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4300 5800
Transport Wind (mph) N 8 W 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 34400 58000
ADI Early 9 Poor 32 Fair 4 Very Poor 48 Gen Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 38 Fair 5 Very Poor 67 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 6 6 6
Max LVORI Late 6 3 6 2
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability F B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-240715-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
202 PM EDT Sat Aug 23 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None None
Chance Precip (%) 40 20 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 20 20 0 0
Min/Max Temp 68 86 69 88
Max/Min RH (%) 95 57 97 54
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 75/1000 1900 74/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 6100
Transport Wind (mph) N 7 W 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 34300 54900
ADI Early 8 Poor 31 Fair 4 Very Poor 46 Gen Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 41 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 63 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 5 6
Max LVORI Late 6 3 6 1
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 5 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability F B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
48 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
86 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 87 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$