Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
412
FNUS52 KILM 130558
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
158 AM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Temperatures will vary little over the next several days but rain
chances should be on the rise next week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-131900-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
158 AM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 30 30
Chance Thunder (%) 30 30 20
Max/Min Temp 94 73 92
Min/Max RH (%) 56 100 60
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 5
Precip Amount 0.09 0.04 0.00
Precip Duration 1 0 1
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing 1 PM
Precip End Continuing 8 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/0900 2000 81/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 4400
Transport Wind (mph) E 7 SE 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 31500 35200
ADI Early 18 Gen Poor 5 Very Poor 22 Fair
ADI Late 27 Fair 4 Very Poor 35 Fair
Max LVORI Early 7 6 9
Max LVORI Late 3 8 3
Min VSBY Early 4 Rain 7 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 3 Rain 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum
RH 95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 63 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum
RH 95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-131900-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
158 AM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 40 30 50
Chance Thunder (%) 40 30 50
Max/Min Temp 94 73 92
Min/Max RH (%) 53 99 59
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.06 0.07 0.03
Precip Duration 1 1 1
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 10 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0900 1900 80/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5400 5300
Transport Wind (mph) NE 6 SE 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 32400 37100
ADI Early 17 Gen Poor 5 Very Poor 22 Fair
ADI Late 35 Fair 4 Very Poor 36 Fair
Max LVORI Early 8 6 8
Max LVORI Late 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 3 Rain 7 2 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 3 Rain 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-131900-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
158 AM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 40 30 40
Chance Thunder (%) 40 30 20
Max/Min Temp 93 73 92
Min/Max RH (%) 54 100 60
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 4
Precip Amount 0.08 0.04 0.01
Precip Duration 1 0 1
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing 12 PM
Precip End Continuing 8 PM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0900 2000 81/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5100 4800
Transport Wind (mph) NE 7 SE 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 35700 38400
ADI Early 16 Gen Poor 5 Very Poor 23 Fair
ADI Late 32 Fair 3 Very Poor 32 Fair
Max LVORI Early 9 6 9
Max LVORI Late 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 7 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 3 Rain 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 64 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-131900-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
158 AM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 40 40 50
Chance Thunder (%) 40 40 50
Max/Min Temp 94 73 92
Min/Max RH (%) 49 99 56
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.04 0.09 0.05
Precip Duration 1 1 1
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 11 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0900 2000 80/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5500 4600
Transport Wind (mph) N 6 SE 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 33000 32200
ADI Early 16 Gen Poor 5 Very Poor 20 Gen Poor
ADI Late 37 Fair 4 Very Poor 31 Fair
Max LVORI Early 8 6 8
Max LVORI Late 2 9 3
Min VSBY Early 4 Rain 7 2 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 2 Rain 7
Turner Stability A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...LEW