Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
766
FNUS52 KILM 050822
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
322 AM EST Wed Feb 5 2025
.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will stall to the south as high pressure to the
north brings much cooler weather today along with some rain
chances lasting into tonight. Warm and dry weather returns
Thursday into Friday though another front arrives later Friday.
The weekend will be rather mild as well but a stronger cold front
late Sunday will bring back February temperatures and cloudy,
unsettled conditions early next week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-060030-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
322 AM EST Wed Feb 5 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Cloudy Pcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Showers
Chance Precip (%) 40 50 30
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 62 43 72
Min/Max RH (%) 63 100 62
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 6 NE 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 5 Lgt/Var SW 7
Precip Amount 0.02 0.04 0.00
Precip Duration 1 2 1
Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 1 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 48/0800 Continued Continued
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2100 2100
Transport Wind (mph) NE 12 SW 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 25200 35700
ADI Early 23 Fair 13 Gen Poor 24 Fair
ADI Late 23 Fair 4 Very Poor 43 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 4 6 9
Max LVORI Late 3 7 3
Min VSBY Early 7 4 Rain 3 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 2 Rain 7
Turner Stability C E C
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 85 percent. Light
winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
68 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Cooler. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 83 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Much
cooler. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper
50s. Minimum RH 79 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-060030-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
322 AM EST Wed Feb 5 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Cloudy Pcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Showers
Chance Precip (%) 30 40 20
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 63 42 73
Min/Max RH (%) 57 99 56
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 5 NE 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 5 Lgt/Var SW 7 G18
Precip Amount 0.01 0.04 0.00
Precip Duration 1 2 1
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 1 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 46/0600 None None
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2400 2600
Transport Wind (mph) NE 13 SW 21
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 31200 54600
ADI Early 25 Fair 18 Gen Poor 27 Fair
ADI Late 26 Fair 5 Very Poor 61 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 8
Max LVORI Late 2 6 2
Min VSBY Early 7 4 Rain 3 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 3 Rain 7
Turner Stability C E B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 80 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Cooler. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 77 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Much
cooler. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 95 percent. North winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid
50s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-060030-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
322 AM EST Wed Feb 5 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain None
Chance Precip (%) 20 40 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 67 45 75
Min/Max RH (%) 63 100 58
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) E 4 Lgt/Var SW 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.02 0.00
Precip Duration 0 2
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 53/0900 1800 None
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2200 2600
Transport Wind (mph) E 10 SW 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 22000 41600
ADI Early 23 Fair 7 Poor 25 Fair
ADI Late 23 Fair 4 Very Poor 49 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 8
Max LVORI Late 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 4 Rain 3 Fog
Min VSBY Late 7 3 Rain 7
Turner Stability C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Light
winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 85 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs around 60.
Minimum RH 78 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-060030-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
322 AM EST Wed Feb 5 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Showers
Chance Precip (%) 20 50 10
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 66 43 74
Min/Max RH (%) 59 99 55
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 4 NE 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 4 Lgt/Var SW 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.03 0.00
Precip Duration 0 2 1
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 1 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 51/1000 1800 56/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2400 2500
Transport Wind (mph) N 10 SW 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 24000 45000
ADI Early 24 Fair 10 Poor 27 Fair
ADI Late 23 Fair 5 Very Poor 51 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 8
Max LVORI Late 3 6 3
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 3 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 3 Rain 7
Turner Stability C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 83 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest winds around
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 81 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Much
cooler. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid
50s. Minimum RH 78 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...III