Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
187
FNUS52 KILM 191846
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
246 PM EDT Sat Apr 19 2025
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure offshore continues a warming trend through the
weekend. Unseasonably warm temperatures will continue into next
week. Rain chances increase for the middle of next week as a front
slowly approaches and then potentially stalls across the region.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-201100-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
246 PM EDT Sat Apr 19 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 61 86 57 84
Max/Min RH (%) 95 44 99 44
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 7 SW 4 S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 SW 6 Lgt/Var S 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 69/0900 1900 67/0900
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 4800
Transport Wind (mph) SW 12 SW 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 58800 72000
ADI Early 15 Gen Poor 52 Gen Good 8 Poor 52 Gen Good
ADI Late 8 Poor 48 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 72 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 4 7
Max LVORI Late 6 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-201100-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
246 PM EDT Sat Apr 19 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 61 88 58 86
Max/Min RH (%) 94 41 99 39
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 6 SW 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 SW 4 Lgt/Var S 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 68/0900 2000 66/0900
Dispersion Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5200 5200
Transport Wind (mph) S 9 SW 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 46800 88400
ADI Early 13 Gen Poor 46 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 58 Gen Good
ADI Late 8 Poor 53 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 88 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 4 6
Max LVORI Late 6 1 8 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-201100-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
246 PM EDT Sat Apr 19 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 59 86 58 84
Max/Min RH (%) 99 42 100 45
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 5 Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var S 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 68/0900 1900 67/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4700 5000
Transport Wind (mph) S 10 SW 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 47000 75000
ADI Early 13 Gen Poor 44 Gen Good 8 Poor 51 Gen Good
ADI Late 7 Poor 44 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 75 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 5 7
Max LVORI Late 7 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-201100-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
246 PM EDT Sat Apr 19 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 58 87 58 86
Max/Min RH (%) 98 39 100 41
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 4 Lgt/Var SW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 67/0900 2000 66/0900
Dispersion Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5100 5300
Transport Wind (mph) S 9 SW 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 45900 84800
ADI Early 12 Poor 43 Gen Good 9 Poor 59 Gen Good
ADI Late 8 Poor 56 Gen Good 9 Poor 91 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 4 7
Max LVORI Late 7 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
47 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...21