Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
949
FNUS52 KILM 010619
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
219 AM EDT Fri Aug 1 2025
.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will bring widespread showers and thunderstorms
today. Cooler weather is expected over the weekend as the front
stalls to the south though showers may linger. As the front
dissipates next week enough moisture will remain for mainly
afternoon showers and storms while temperatures gradually
moderates back towards normal.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-011930-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
219 AM EDT Fri Aug 1 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 70 80 70
Chance Thunder (%) 70 70 50
Max/Min Temp 94 70 85
Min/Max RH (%) 57 100 71
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var NE 4 NE 8 G17
Precip Amount 0.50 0.84 0.38
Precip Duration 4 7 5
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0900 1800 71/0600
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3500 3800
Transport Wind (mph) W 8 NE 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 28000 76000
ADI Early 22 Fair 5 Very Poor 59 Gen Good
ADI Late 28 Fair 10 Poor 65 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 7 5
Max LVORI Late 3 8 3
Min VSBY Early 7 5 Rain 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 5 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 86 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 78 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 77 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-011930-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
219 AM EDT Fri Aug 1 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 70 70 50
Chance Thunder (%) 70 70 50
Max/Min Temp 94 70 84
Min/Max RH (%) 57 99 71
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 6 G17
Precip Amount 0.20 0.41 0.15
Precip Duration 3 4 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/0900 1900 None
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3400 3500
Transport Wind (mph) NW 7 NE 21
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 23800 73500
ADI Early 18 Gen Poor 6 Very Poor 59 Gen Good
ADI Late 26 Fair 11 Poor 67 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 8 4
Max LVORI Late 3 7 3
Min VSBY Early 7 5 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 6 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability A F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 86 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 78 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-011930-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
219 AM EDT Fri Aug 1 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 70 70 80
Chance Thunder (%) 70 70 70
Max/Min Temp 95 71 84
Min/Max RH (%) 54 100 75
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 Lgt/Var NE 6
Precip Amount 0.48 0.76 0.27
Precip Duration 3 5 6
Precip Begin 7 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 83/0900 1900 72/0600
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4400 3500
Transport Wind (mph) SW 9 NE 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 39600 52500
ADI Early 25 Fair 6 Very Poor 44 Gen Good
ADI Late 36 Fair 8 Poor 49 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 9 5
Max LVORI Late 3 9 4
Min VSBY Early 7 5 Rain 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 5 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 78 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 77 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 77 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-011930-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
219 AM EDT Fri Aug 1 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 60 70 70
Chance Thunder (%) 60 70 50
Max/Min Temp 94 70 81
Min/Max RH (%) 53 100 76
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 6
Precip Amount 0.27 0.76 0.18
Precip Duration 3 6 5
Precip Begin 7 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/0900 1900 71/0600
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 3300
Transport Wind (mph) W 8 NE 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 36000 56100
ADI Early 21 Fair 5 Very Poor 51 Gen Good
ADI Late 36 Fair 11 Poor 58 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 9 5
Max LVORI Late 2 9 4
Min VSBY Early 7 5 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 5 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability A F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$