Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
416
FNUS52 KILM 171753
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
153 PM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Bermuda high pressure will bring southwesterly winds and hot
weather across the Carolinas through the weekend. A weak front
is expected to approach from the north early next week with
increased chances for showers and thunderstorms along with
slightly cooler temps.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-180700-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
153 PM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 40 20 30
Chance Thunder (%) 0 40 20 30
Min/Max Temp 75 96 76 97
Max/Min RH (%) 95 54 97 54
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 G19 SW 5 SW 5 SW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 SW 6 Lgt/Var SW 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 1 1 2
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 79/0800 2000 80/0700
Dispersion Fair Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4700 5900
Transport Wind (mph) SW 14 W 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 65800 94400
ADI Early 14 Gen Poor 53 Gen Good 11 Poor 53 Gen Good
ADI Late 9 Poor 61 Good 6 Very Poor 80 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 5 6
Max LVORI Late 5 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum
RH 95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 95 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 65 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-180700-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
153 PM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 30 30 30
Chance Thunder (%) 20 30 30 30
Min/Max Temp 75 96 76 97
Max/Min RH (%) 95 52 97 53
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 4 SW 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 SW 4 Lgt/Var SW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01
Precip Duration 0 1 1 1
Precip Begin 6 PM 2 PM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End 8 PM Continuing 2 AM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 78/0800 2000 82/0900
Dispersion Poor Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4800 5800
Transport Wind (mph) SW 13 W 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 62400 92800
ADI Early 11 Poor 42 Gen Good 9 Poor 48 Gen Good
ADI Late 7 Poor 71 Good 6 Very Poor 89 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 5 5
Max LVORI Late 5 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum
RH 93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 58 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-180700-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
153 PM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None Tstms None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 0 20
Chance Thunder (%) 0 20 0 20
Min/Max Temp 74 95 76 97
Max/Min RH (%) 99 53 97 52
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 5 G18 SW 4 S 5 G17 SW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 SW 6 G17 Lgt/Var SW 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0 0
Precip Begin 2 PM 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 79/0800 2000 81/0900
Dispersion Fair Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5500 6600
Transport Wind (mph) SW 12 W 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 66000 105600
ADI Early 11 Poor 47 Gen Good 9 Poor 59 Gen Good
ADI Late 7 Poor 58 Gen Good 7 Poor 101 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 4 5
Max LVORI Late 7 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum
RH 90 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 64 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-180700-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
153 PM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 20 20
Chance Thunder (%) 0 30 20 20
Min/Max Temp 74 96 75 97
Max/Min RH (%) 99 49 96 48
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 4 Lgt/Var SW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1 0 0
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 8 PM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 77/0800 2000 82/0900
Dispersion Poor Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5600 6900
Transport Wind (mph) SW 13 W 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 72800 124200
ADI Early 11 Poor 43 Gen Good 8 Poor 60 Gen Good
ADI Late 7 Poor 75 Good 7 Poor 129 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 4 6 4 5
Max LVORI Late 6 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum
RH 89 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...TRA