Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
259
FNUS52 KILM 171226
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
826 AM EDT Sat May 17 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Unseasonably warm and mainly dry conditions will be in place for
the next several days before higher rain chances return into the
middle of next week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-180430-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
826 AM EDT Sat May 17 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 92 67 91
Min/Max RH (%) 52 82 34
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 SW 8 G19 W 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 10 G20 W 6 W 8
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0900 2000 76/0900
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3700 5500
Transport Wind (mph) SW 22 W 21
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 81400 115500
ADI Early 46 Gen Good 22 Fair 101 Very Good
ADI Late 68 Good 12 Poor 118 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 4 3 4
Max LVORI Late 1 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C E B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
66 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
55 percent. West winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
77 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-180430-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
826 AM EDT Sat May 17 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 91 67 90
Min/Max RH (%) 50 81 34
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 G20 W 8 G20 W 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 11 G24 W 5 W 8
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0900 2000 75/0900
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4100 5100
Transport Wind (mph) SW 28 W 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 114800 102000
ADI Early 43 Gen Good 34 Fair 83 Good
ADI Late 104 Very Good12 Poor 112 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 4 3 4
Max LVORI Late 1 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C E B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
38 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 84 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
76 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-180430-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
826 AM EDT Sat May 17 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 92 68 90
Min/Max RH (%) 52 86 36
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 W 9 G18 W 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 11 G20 W 5 W 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/0900 2000 76/0900
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4000 5400
Transport Wind (mph) W 16 W 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 64000 97200
ADI Early 53 Gen Good 28 Fair 65 Good
ADI Late 73 Good 12 Poor 96 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 3 4
Max LVORI Late 1 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 86 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 52 percent.
West winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
77 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-180430-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
826 AM EDT Sat May 17 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 91 67 90
Min/Max RH (%) 51 84 35
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 G18 W 9 G20 W 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) W 12 G22 W 5 W 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0900 2000 76/0900
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4300 5100
Transport Wind (mph) W 28 W 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 120400 86700
ADI Early 50 Gen Good 35 Fair 65 Good
ADI Late 102 Very Good11 Poor 94 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 3 4
Max LVORI Late 1 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 83 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$