Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
533
FNUS52 KILM 171836
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
236 PM EDT Mon Aug 17 2026
.DISCUSSION...
Very hot and humid through at least Thursday with widely scattered
storms possible each afternoon. Rain chances increase Friday into
the weekend due to combination of surface front and upper level
support.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-180745-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
236 PM EDT Mon Aug 17 2026
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 20 30
Chance Thunder (%) 0 20 20 30
Min/Max Temp 77 99 75 96
Max/Min RH (%) 89 46 98 55
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var W 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.06 0.03 0.02
Precip Duration 0 1 1
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 9 PM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 85/0900 1900 82/0900
Dispersion Poor Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6300 5800
Transport Wind (mph) SW 10 SW 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 63000 52200
ADI Early 6 Very Poor 23 Fair 6 Very Poor 26 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 65 Good 3 Very Poor 53 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 5 7
Max LVORI Late 5 2 6 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-180745-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
236 PM EDT Mon Aug 17 2026
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 20 30
Chance Thunder (%) 0 20 20 30
Min/Max Temp 76 97 74 96
Max/Min RH (%) 87 44 97 47
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.04 0.02 0.01
Precip Duration 0 0 1
Precip Begin 3 PM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 9 PM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 83/0900 1900 80/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6500 6200
Transport Wind (mph) W 9 NW 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 58500 49600
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 24 Fair 5 Very Poor 25 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 70 Good 3 Very Poor 51 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 4 7
Max LVORI Late 5 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-180745-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Red Hill, Loris, and Aynor
236 PM EDT Mon Aug 17 2026
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 20 20
Chance Thunder (%) 0 20 20 20
Min/Max Temp 77 98 75 97
Max/Min RH (%) 85 44 94 52
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var W 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.06 0.03 0.01
Precip Duration 0 0 0
Precip Begin 3 PM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 10 PM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 85/0900 1900 82/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7300 6800
Transport Wind (mph) W 10 SW 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 73000 54400
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 26 Fair 6 Very Poor 23 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 77 Good 3 Very Poor 52 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 4 4 5 6
Max LVORI Late 5 1 6 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-180745-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
236 PM EDT Mon Aug 17 2026
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 30
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 30
Min/Max Temp 76 97 74 97
Max/Min RH (%) 83 43 92 44
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 83/0900 2000 80/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6800 7100
Transport Wind (mph) W 10 NW 6
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 68000 42600
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 29 Fair 4 Very Poor 27 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 76 Good 3 Very Poor 50 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 3 4 4 5
Max LVORI Late 4 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Light winds.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...VAO