Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
719
FNUS52 KILM 170613
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
213 AM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
.DISCUSSION...
A weak ridge of high pressure over the inland Carolinas will shift
towards the coast today. Tropical Cyclone Erin should remain
offshore as it pushes northward between Bermuda and the U.S. East
Coast during the mid-week period. A cold front late this week
should bring a return of higher rain chances.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-171915-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
213 AM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 91 70 94
Min/Max RH (%) 47 96 56
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) N 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 5 Lgt/Var E 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/0900 1900 78/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4700 6800
Transport Wind (mph) NE 8 N 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 37600 47600
ADI Early 26 Fair 4 Very Poor 27 Fair
ADI Late 47 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 50 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 5 6
Max LVORI Late 2 6 2
Min VSBY Early 4 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of thunderstorms
30 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
64 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-171915-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
213 AM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 91 71 94
Min/Max RH (%) 45 94 55
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/0900 1900 81/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4600 6300
Transport Wind (mph) NE 6 NW 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 27600 44100
ADI Early 23 Fair 4 Very Poor 27 Fair
ADI Late 43 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 51 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 5 5
Max LVORI Late 2 6 2
Min VSBY Early 3 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
60 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Light
winds.
$$
NCZ087-171915-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
213 AM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Mclear
Precip Type None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 10
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 10
Max/Min Temp 92 72 94
Min/Max RH (%) 45 90 54
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 4 Lgt/Var NE 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/0900 1900 81/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 5600
Transport Wind (mph) N 6 N 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 29400 39200
ADI Early 23 Fair 4 Very Poor 28 Fair
ADI Late 41 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 48 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 4 5
Max LVORI Late 2 5 2
Min VSBY Early 3 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-171915-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
213 AM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 91 70 93
Min/Max RH (%) 50 95 54
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 4 Lgt/Var E 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0900 1900 81/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 6500
Transport Wind (mph) NE 8 NE 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 36000 45500
ADI Early 33 Fair 4 Very Poor 27 Fair
ADI Late 42 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 47 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 5 6
Max LVORI Late 2 6 2
Min VSBY Early 4 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
62 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 63 percent. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-171915-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
213 AM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 91 70 94
Min/Max RH (%) 47 93 50
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0900 1900 81/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5000 6200
Transport Wind (mph) NE 8 N 6
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 40000 37200
ADI Early 36 Fair 4 Very Poor 27 Fair
ADI Late 50 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 46 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 5 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 3 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 57 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-171915-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
213 AM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Mclear
Precip Type None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 10
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 10
Max/Min Temp 91 72 93
Min/Max RH (%) 48 93 54
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0900 1900 81/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5000 6300
Transport Wind (mph) NE 6 N 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 30000 44100
ADI Early 25 Fair 4 Very Poor 26 Fair
ADI Late 41 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 50 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 4 5
Max LVORI Late 2 6 2
Min VSBY Early 2 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
58 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...dch