Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
754
FNUS52 KILM 030624
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
224 AM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible
through Thursday as a cold front slowly pushes towards the coast.
Conditions will improve for Friday thru the upcoming weekend with
temperatures back to normal along with isolated to scattered
diurnally-driven convection.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-031930-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
224 AM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 40 30 20
Chance Thunder (%) 40 30 20
Max/Min Temp 89 71 91
Min/Max RH (%) 66 100 54
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var E 6
Precip Amount 0.09 0.03 0.00
Precip Duration 2 0 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 9 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/0800 2000 79/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 6500
Transport Wind (mph) SW 8 E 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 33600 91000
ADI Early 21 Fair 4 Very Poor 86 Good
ADI Late 31 Fair 4 Very Poor 85 Good
Max LVORI Early 7 6 8
Max LVORI Late 3 9 1
Min VSBY Early 4 Rain 5 Rain 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 4 Rain 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-031930-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
224 AM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 0 20
Chance Thunder (%) 30 0 20
Max/Min Temp 91 71 93
Min/Max RH (%) 57 100 51
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var E 4
Precip Amount 0.02 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1 0
Precip Begin 6 AM 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/0800 2000 79/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5200 6700
Transport Wind (mph) N 7 E 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 36400 80400
ADI Early 19 Gen Poor 4 Very Poor 86 Good
ADI Late 40 Fair 4 Very Poor 94 Good
Max LVORI Early 8 7 8
Max LVORI Late 3 9 1
Min VSBY Early 2 Rain 5 Fog 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 4 Fog 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-031930-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
224 AM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Tstms None None
Chance Precip (%) 20 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 20 0 0
Max/Min Temp 91 72 93
Min/Max RH (%) 53 100 48
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 3 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/0800 2000 79/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5700 6900
Transport Wind (mph) N 8 E 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 45600 82800
ADI Early 28 Fair 4 Very Poor 86 Good
ADI Late 51 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 96 Good
Max LVORI Early 8 6 8
Max LVORI Late 3 9 1
Min VSBY Early 2 Rain 5 Fog 5 Fog
Min VSBY Late 7 5 Fog 7
Turner Stability A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-031930-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
224 AM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 50 20 30
Chance Thunder (%) 50 20 30
Max/Min Temp 90 72 91
Min/Max RH (%) 65 100 57
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var E 7
Precip Amount 0.10 0.04 0.01
Precip Duration 2 0 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 8 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/0900 2100 79/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4700 6600
Transport Wind (mph) E 8 E 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 37600 105600
ADI Early 20 Gen Poor 4 Very Poor 93 Good
ADI Late 33 Fair 4 Very Poor 103 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 9 7 8
Max LVORI Late 3 9 1
Min VSBY Early 3 Rain 5 Rain 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 5 Rain 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. East
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-031930-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
224 AM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 0 20
Chance Thunder (%) 30 0 20
Max/Min Temp 91 71 92
Min/Max RH (%) 57 100 51
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var E 6
Precip Amount 0.03 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1 0
Precip Begin 8 AM 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/0800 2000 79/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5700 6900
Transport Wind (mph) NE 8 E 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 45600 103500
ADI Early 24 Fair 4 Very Poor 103 Very Good
ADI Late 48 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 111 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 9 6 8
Max LVORI Late 3 9 1
Min VSBY Early 3 Rain 5 Fog 3 Rain
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 3 Fog 7
Turner Stability A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-031930-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
224 AM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 20
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Max/Min Temp 91 72 93
Min/Max RH (%) 51 99 47
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var E 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/0800 2000 79/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6400 7400
Transport Wind (mph) NE 8 E 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 51200 96200
ADI Early 33 Fair 4 Very Poor 95 Good
ADI Late 56 Gen Good 3 Very Poor 108 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 8 6 8
Max LVORI Late 2 9 1
Min VSBY Early 1 Fog 5 Fog 3 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 4 Fog 7
Turner Stability A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...Weiner