Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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545
FNUS52 KILM 191900
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
300 PM EDT Sat Oct 19 2024

.DISCUSSION...
Dry weather is expected to prevail through the next week as
high pressure remains in control. A warming trend will continue
through midweek before a dry cold front slides through on
Thursday, bringing temperatures closer to normal by the end of
the work week.

Fog potential for tonight is Low.

NCZ105>110-201100-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
300 PM EDT Sat Oct 19 2024

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Clear        Clear
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          44           77           49           78
Max/Min RH (%)        100          48           96           46
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      N  5         Lgt/Var      N  5
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   N  4         N  5         Lgt/Var      NE  5
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1800         59/1000      1800         62/1000
Dispersion            Poor                      Poor
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
DSI                                2                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    3100                      3800
Transport Wind (mph)               N 13                      NE 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 40300                     45600
ADI Early             13 Gen Poor  31 Fair      13 Gen Poor  27 Fair
ADI Late              6 Very Poor  45 Gen Good  6 Very Poor  44 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early       5            8            4            6
Max LVORI Late        9            2            5            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         5 Fog        7            7
Turner Stability      E            B            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 58 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-201100-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
300 PM EDT Sat Oct 19 2024

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          44           77           45           77
Max/Min RH (%)        100          41           99           41
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      NE  4        Lgt/Var      NE  4
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1800         59/1000      1800         59/1000
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
DSI                                2                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    2900                      3200
Transport Wind (mph)               N 15                      NE 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 43500                     32000
ADI Early             12 Poor      39 Fair      13 Gen Poor  28 Fair
ADI Late              6 Very Poor  52 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  41 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early       4            9            4            8
Max LVORI Late        9            1            6            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         5 Fog        7            7
Turner Stability      F            B            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 46 percent. Light
winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 44 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Light winds.

$$

NCZ087-201100-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
300 PM EDT Sat Oct 19 2024

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          43           76           46           77
Max/Min RH (%)        100          38           96           37
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  NE  4        N  4         Lgt/Var      N  4
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      NE  7        Lgt/Var      NE  6
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1800         58/1000      1800         59/1000
Dispersion            Poor                      Very Poor
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
DSI                                2                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    3000                      3100
Transport Wind (mph)               N 14                      NE 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 42000                     40300
ADI Early             12 Poor      39 Fair      12 Poor      35 Fair
ADI Late              6 Very Poor  51 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  45 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early       4            9            4            7
Max LVORI Late        9            1            6            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         5 Fog        7            7
Turner Stability      F            B            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 89 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 42 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 47 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
76 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-201100-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
300 PM EDT Sat Oct 19 2024

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          46           76           48           76
Max/Min RH (%)        100          42           94           44
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      N  4         Lgt/Var      N  4
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      NE  6        Lgt/Var      NE  5
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1800         60/1000      1800         61/1000
Dispersion            Poor                      Poor
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
DSI                                2                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    3200                      3500
Transport Wind (mph)               N 14                      NE 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 44800                     42000
ADI Early             13 Gen Poor  39 Fair      13 Gen Poor  28 Fair
ADI Late              6 Very Poor  53 Gen Good  6 Very Poor  41 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early       4            7            4            6
Max LVORI Late        6            1            5            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         6 Fog        7            7
Turner Stability      F            B            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 50 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-201100-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
300 PM EDT Sat Oct 19 2024

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          44           76           46           77
Max/Min RH (%)        98           39           95           39
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      NE  5        Lgt/Var      NE  4
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1800         59/1000      1800         59/1000
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
DSI                                2                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    3100                      3400
Transport Wind (mph)               N 15                      NE 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 46500                     34000
ADI Early             13 Gen Poor  43 Gen Good  12 Poor      33 Fair
ADI Late              6 Very Poor  56 Gen Good  6 Very Poor  45 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early       3            6            4            6
Max LVORI Late        5            1            5            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         6 Fog        7            7
Turner Stability      F            B            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 49 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 51 percent. Light
winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-201100-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
300 PM EDT Sat Oct 19 2024

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          41           76           45           77
Max/Min RH (%)        100          39           96           36
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      N  4         Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      NE  5        Lgt/Var      NE  5
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1800         58/1000      1800         59/1000
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
DSI                                2                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    3300                      3200
Transport Wind (mph)               N 14                      NE 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 46200                     44800
ADI Early             12 Poor      34 Fair      11 Poor      36 Fair
ADI Late              5 Very Poor  53 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  52 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early       4            9            4            7
Max LVORI Late        6            1            6            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         5 Fog        7            7
Turner Stability      F            B            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 47 percent. Light
winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
77 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
85 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
   NOT USED                    0             0 TO 14759
    0 TO 17249                 1         14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

Forecaster...RGZ