Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
036
FNUS52 KILM 221724
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
124 PM EDT Fri Aug 22 2025
.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will stall south of the area today, maintaining
shower chances for northeastern SC and mostly dry weather over
southeastern NC. A weak area of low pressure may develop offshore
this weekend, leading to increased shower chances near the coast.
Drier and cooler weather arrives behind a cold front early next
week.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-230630-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
124 PM EDT Fri Aug 22 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 40 60
Chance Thunder (%) 0 20 40 50
Min/Max Temp 67 83 70 85
Max/Min RH (%) 88 63 97 74
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var NE 4 Lgt/Var NE 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 4 E 5 Lgt/Var NE 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.30 0.32
Precip Duration 1 2 6
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 74/0900 2000 76/1000
Dispersion Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4300 3300
Transport Wind (mph) E 12 NE 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 51600 26400
ADI Early 6 Very Poor 46 Gen Good 8 Poor 18 Gen Poor
ADI Late 7 Poor 52 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 27 Fair
Max LVORI Early 4 4 5 6
Max LVORI Late 4 2 7 4
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability E B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
85 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-230630-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
124 PM EDT Fri Aug 22 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 20 40
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 20 40
Min/Max Temp 67 85 70 86
Max/Min RH (%) 91 55 96 62
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.05
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 74/1000 1900 74/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4400 4000
Transport Wind (mph) E 12 NE 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 52800 32000
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 42 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 25 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 55 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 35 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 5 5 6
Max LVORI Late 6 2 6 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
76 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 86 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 87 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-230630-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
124 PM EDT Fri Aug 22 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 50 50 50
Chance Thunder (%) 30 50 50 50
Min/Max Temp 70 82 71 85
Max/Min RH (%) 95 69 98 70
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var NE 5 E 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 6 Lgt/Var NE 4
Precip Amount 0.08 0.19 0.38 0.24
Precip Duration 2 2 2 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 75/0900 2000 76/1000
Dispersion Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3400 3500
Transport Wind (mph) E 14 NE 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 47600 31500
ADI Early 7 Poor 43 Gen Good 9 Poor 23 Fair
ADI Late 8 Poor 48 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 29 Fair
Max LVORI Early 6 5 6 7
Max LVORI Late 6 3 7 3
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 5 Rain 5 Rain
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 4 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability F C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
91 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-230630-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
124 PM EDT Fri Aug 22 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 30 30 30
Chance Thunder (%) 30 30 30 30
Min/Max Temp 69 82 69 86
Max/Min RH (%) 97 62 98 64
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var NE 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.02 0.05 0.05 0.06
Precip Duration 2 2 2 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 73/0900 2000 73/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4000 4300
Transport Wind (mph) E 14 NE 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 56000 34400
ADI Early 6 Very Poor 44 Gen Good 8 Poor 27 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 55 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 38 Fair
Max LVORI Early 6 5 6 6
Max LVORI Late 7 2 7 3
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 5 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability F C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
76 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH
49 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 86 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 87 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$